دورية أكاديمية
COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil: Where are we at?
| العنوان: | COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil: Where are we at? |
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| المؤلفون: | Lobo AP; Collective Health Program, Faculty of Health Science, University of Brasília, Brasília-DF, Brazil. Electronic address: andreadpaula@gmail.com., Cardoso-Dos-Santos AC; Secretariat of Health Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília-DF, Brazil., Rocha MS; Secretariat of Health Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília-DF, Brazil., Pinheiro RS; Institute of Public Health Studies, Health Science Center, Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro-RJ, Brazil., Bremm JM; Secretariat of Health Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília-DF, Brazil., Macário EM; Secretariat of Health Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília-DF, Brazil., Oliveira WK; Secretariat of Health Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília-DF, Brazil., França GVA; Secretariat of Health Surveillance, Ministry of Health, Brasília-DF, Brazil. |
| المصدر: | International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases [Int J Infect Dis] 2020 Aug; Vol. 97, pp. 382-385. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Jun 16. |
| نوع المنشور: | Journal Article |
| اللغة: | English |
| بيانات الدورية: | Publisher: Elsevier Country of Publication: Canada NLM ID: 9610933 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1878-3511 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 12019712 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Int J Infect Dis Subsets: MEDLINE |
| أسماء مطبوعة: | Publication: Hamilton, ON : Elsevier Original Publication: Hamilton, ON : Decker, c1996- |
| مواضيع طبية MeSH: | Coronavirus Infections/*epidemiology , Pneumonia, Viral/*epidemiology, Betacoronavirus ; Brazil/epidemiology ; COVID-19 ; Humans ; Models, Statistical ; Pandemics ; Regression Analysis ; SARS-CoV-2 |
| مستخلص: | Objetive: To analyze the trends of COVID-19 in Brazil in 2020 by Federal Units (FU). Method: Ecological time-series based on cumulative confirmed cases of COVID-19 from March 11 to May 12. Joinpoint regression models were applied to identify points of inflection in COVID-19 trends, considering the days since the 50 th confirmed case as time unit. Results: Brazil reached its 50 th confirmed case of COVID-19 in 11 March 2020 and, 63 days after that, on May 12, 177,589 cases had been confirmed. The trends for all regions and FU are upward. In the last segment, from the 31 st to the 63 rd day, Brazil presented a daily percentage change (DPC) of 7.3% (95%CI= 7.2;7.5). For the country the average daily percentage change (ADPC) was 14.2% (95%CI: 13.8;14.5). The highest ADPC values were found in the North, Northeast and Southeast regions. Conclusions: In summary, our results show that all FUs in Brazil present upward trends of COVID-19. In some FUs, the slowdown in DPC in the last segment must be considered with caution. Each FU is at a different stage of the pandemic and, therefore, non-pharmacological measures should be adopted accordingly. (Copyright © 2020 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.) |
| References: | J Med Virol. 2020 Jun;92(6):645-659. (PMID: 32141624) Cad Saude Publica. 2020;36(3):e00019620. (PMID: 32187288) Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2020 Apr 8;4:CD013574. (PMID: 32267544) Lancet Infect Dis. 2020 May;20(5):547-548. (PMID: 32311323) |
| فهرسة مساهمة: | Keywords: Brazil; COVID-19; Epidemiology; Joinpoint; Times series |
| تواريخ الأحداث: | Date Created: 20200621 Date Completed: 20200730 Latest Revision: 20220415 |
| رمز التحديث: | 20231215 |
| مُعرف محوري في PubMed: | PMC7297148 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.044 |
| PMID: | 32561425 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | MEDLINE |
Full Text via ClinicalKey 
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 1878-3511 |
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| DOI: | 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.044 |