دورية أكاديمية
Predicting Long-term Disease-free Survival After Resection of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Nationwide Cohort Study.
العنوان: | Predicting Long-term Disease-free Survival After Resection of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Nationwide Cohort Study. |
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المؤلفون: | van Goor IWJM; Department of Surgery, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center & St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Utrecht, the Netherlands.; Department of Radiation Oncology, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center, Utrecht, the Netherlands., Schouten TJ; Department of Surgery, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center & St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Utrecht, the Netherlands., Verburg DN; Department of Surgery, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center & St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Utrecht, the Netherlands., Besselink MG; Department of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, location University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.; Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands., Bonsing BA; Department of Surgery, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands., Bosscha K; Department of Surgery, Jeroen Bosch Hospital, Den Bosch, the Netherlands., Brosens LAA; Department of Pathology, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center & St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Utrecht, the Netherlands., Busch OR; Department of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, location University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands.; Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands., Cirkel GA; Department of Medical Oncology, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center & Meander Medical Center Amersfoort, Utrecht, the Netherlands., van Dam RM; Department of Surgery, Maastricht UMC+, Maastricht, the Netherlands., Festen S; Department of Surgery, OLVG, Amsterdam, the Netherlands., Koerkamp BG; Department of Surgery, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, the Netherlands., van der Harst E; Department of Surgery, Maasstad Hospital, Rotterdam, the Netherlands., de Hingh IHJT; Department of Surgery, Catharina Hospital, Eindhoven, the Netherlands., Intven MPW; Department of Radiation Oncology, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center, Utrecht, the Netherlands., Kazemier G; Cancer Center Amsterdam, the Netherlands.; Department of Surgery, Amsterdam UMC, location Vrije Universiteit, Amsterdam, the Netherlands., Los M; Department of Medical Oncology, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center & St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Utrecht, the Netherlands., Meijer GJ; Department of Radiation Oncology, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center, Utrecht, the Netherlands., de Meijer VE; Department of Surgery, University of Groningen, University Medical Center Groningen, Groningen, the Netherlands., Nieuwenhuijs VB; Department of Surgery, Isala, Zwolle, the Netherlands., Roos D; Department of Surgery, Renier de Graaf Gasthuis, Delft, the Netherlands., Schreinemakers JMJ; Department of Surgery, Amphia Hospital, Breda, the Netherlands., Stommel MWJ; Department of Surgery, Radboud University Medical Center, Nijmegen, the Netherlands., Verdonk RC; Department of Gastroenterology, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands., van Santvoort HC; Department of Surgery, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center & St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Utrecht, the Netherlands., Daamen LA; Department of Surgery, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center & St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Utrecht, the Netherlands.; Imaging Division, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands., Molenaar IQ; Department of Surgery, Regional Academic Cancer Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, University Medical Center Utrecht Cancer Center & St. Antonius Hospital Nieuwegein, Utrecht, the Netherlands. |
مؤلفون مشاركون: | Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Group |
المصدر: | Annals of surgery [Ann Surg] 2024 Jan 01; Vol. 279 (1), pp. 132-137. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Jul 17. |
نوع المنشور: | Journal Article |
اللغة: | English |
بيانات الدورية: | Publisher: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 0372354 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1528-1140 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 00034932 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Ann Surg Subsets: MEDLINE |
أسماء مطبوعة: | Original Publication: Philadelphia, PA : Lippincott Williams & Wilkins |
مواضيع طبية MeSH: | Pancreatic Neoplasms* , Carcinoma, Pancreatic Ductal*, Humans ; Cohort Studies ; Disease-Free Survival ; Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/epidemiology ; Neoplasm Recurrence, Local/pathology ; Prognosis ; Retrospective Studies |
مستخلص: | Objective: To develop a prediction model for long-term (≥5 years) disease-free survival (DFS) after the resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Background: Despite high recurrence rates, ~10% of patients have long-term DFS after PDAC resection. A model to predict long-term DFS may aid individualized prognostication and shared decision-making. Methods: This nationwide cohort study included all consecutive patients who underwent PDAC resection in the Netherlands (2014-2016). The best-performing prognostic model was selected by Cox-proportional hazard analysis and Akaike's Information Criterion, presented by hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Internal validation was performed, and discrimination and calibration indices were assessed. Results: In all, 836 patients with a median follow-up of 67 months (interquartile range 51-79) were analyzed. Long-term DFS was seen in 118 patients (14%). Factors predictive of long-term DFS were low preoperative carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (logarithmic; HR 1.21; 95% CI 1.10-1.32), no vascular resection (HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.12-1.58), T1 or T2 tumor stage (HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.14-2.04, and HR 1.17; 95% CI 0.98-1.39, respectively), well/moderate tumor differentiation (HR 1.44; 95% CI 1.22-1.68), absence of perineural and lymphovascular invasion (HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.11-1.81 and HR 1.14; 95% CI 0.96-1.36, respectively), N0 or N1 nodal status (HR 1.92; 95% CI 1.54-2.40, and HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.11-1.60, respectively), R0 resection margin status (HR 1.25; 95% CI 1.07-1.46), no major complications (HR 1.14; 95% CI 0.97-1.35) and adjuvant chemotherapy (HR 1.74; 95% CI 1.47-2.06). Moderate performance (concordance index 0.68) with adequate calibration (slope 0.99) was achieved. Conclusions: The developed prediction model, readily available at www.pancreascalculator.com, can be used to estimate the probability of long-term DFS after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma. (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc.) |
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تواريخ الأحداث: | Date Created: 20230714 Date Completed: 20231220 Latest Revision: 20231220 |
رمز التحديث: | 20231220 |
مُعرف محوري في PubMed: | PMC10727199 |
DOI: | 10.1097/SLA.0000000000006004 |
PMID: | 37450706 |
قاعدة البيانات: | MEDLINE |
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