دورية أكاديمية
أعرض في EDS

Predicting the short and long term effects of food price inflation, armed conflicts, and climate variability on global acute malnutrition in Somalia.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Predicting the short and long term effects of food price inflation, armed conflicts, and climate variability on global acute malnutrition in Somalia.
المؤلفون: Mohamed J; Faculty of Statistics and Data Science, College of Applied and Natural Science, University of Hargeisa, Hargeisa, Somaliland. jama.mohamed@live.co.uk., Abdi MJ; Center for Ground and Surface Water Management, Hargeisa Water Agency, Hargeisa, Somaliland., Mohamed AI; Faculty of Nutrition and Food Science, College of Applied and Natural Science, University of Hargeisa, Hargeisa, Somaliland., Muhumed MA; Department of Planning, Ministry of Planning and Development, Hargeisa, Somaliland., Abdeeq BA; Department of Child Survival, Save the Children International, Hargeisa, Somaliland., Abdi AA; College of Business and Public Administration, University of Hargeisa, Hargeisa, Somaliland., Abdilahi MM; College of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Hargeisa, Hargeisa, Somaliland., Ali DA; Faculty of Economics, SIMAD University, Mogadishu, Somalia.
المصدر: Journal of health, population, and nutrition [J Health Popul Nutr] 2024 May 17; Vol. 43 (1), pp. 68. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 May 17.
نوع المنشور: Journal Article
اللغة: English
بيانات الدورية: Publisher: BioMedCentral Country of Publication: Bangladesh NLM ID: 100959228 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2072-1315 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 16060997 NLM ISO Abbreviation: J Health Popul Nutr Subsets: MEDLINE
أسماء مطبوعة: Publication: May 2015- : London: BioMedCentral
Original Publication: Dhaka, Bangladesh : ICDDR,B: Centre for Health and Population Research, c2000-
مواضيع طبية MeSH: Armed Conflicts* , Malnutrition*/epidemiology , Malnutrition*/economics, Humans ; Somalia ; Climate Change ; Food Supply/statistics & numerical data ; Food/economics ; Inflation, Economic ; Climate ; Commerce
مستخلص: Background: Malnutrition poses a substantial challenge in Somalia, impacting approximately 1.8 million children. This critical issue is exacerbated by a multifaceted interplay of factors. Consequently, this study seeks to examine the long-term and short-term effects of armed conflicts, food price inflation, and climate variability on global acute malnutrition in Somalia.
Methods: The study utilized secondary data spanning from January 2015 to December 2022, sourced from relevant databases. Two distinct analytical approaches were employed to comprehensively investigate the dynamics of global acute malnutrition in Somalia. Firstly, dynamic autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) simulations were applied, allowing for a nuanced understanding of the short and long-term effects of armed conflicts, food price inflation, and climate variability on malnutrition. Additionally, the study employed kernel-based regularized least squares, a sophisticated statistical technique, to further enhance the robustness of the findings. The analysis was conducted using STATA version 17.
Results: In the short run, armed conflicts and food price inflation exhibit positive associations with global acute malnutrition, particularly in conflict-prone areas and during inflationary periods. Moreover, climatic variables, specifically temperature and rainfall, demonstrate positive associations. It is important to note that temperature lacks a statistically significant relationship with global acute malnutrition in the short run. In the long run, armed conflicts and food price inflation maintain persistent impacts on global acute malnutrition, as confirmed by the dynamic ARDL simulations model. Furthermore, both temperature and rainfall continue to show positive associations with global acute malnutrition, but it is worth noting that temperature still exhibits a non-significant relationship. The results from kernel-based regularized least squares were consistent, further enhancing the robustness of the findings.
Conclusions: Increased armed conflicts, food price inflation, temperature, and rainfall were associated with increased global acute malnutrition. Strategies such as stabilizing conflict-prone regions, diplomatic interventions, and peace-building initiatives are crucial, along with measures to control food price inflation. Implementing climate adaptation strategies is vital to counter temperature changes and fluctuating rainfall patterns, emphasizing the need for resilience-building. Policymakers and humanitarian organizations can leverage these insights to design targeted interventions, focusing on conflict resolution, food security, and climate resilience to enhance Somalia's overall nutritional well-being.
(© 2024. The Author(s).)
References: Heliyon. 2019 Jun 26;5(6):e01904. (PMID: 31304410)
BMJ Glob Health. 2019 Apr 11;4(2):e001215. (PMID: 31139439)
Glob Environ Change. 2020 Nov;65:. (PMID: 34789965)
BMJ Glob Health. 2023 Dec 18;8(12):. (PMID: 38114238)
Lancet. 2013 Aug 17;382(9892):587-8. (PMID: 23961550)
Sci Rep. 2020 Nov 2;10(1):18796. (PMID: 33139856)
Heliyon. 2023 Nov 03;9(11):e21672. (PMID: 38027550)
Soc Sci Med. 2020 Sep;261:113234. (PMID: 32823214)
Public Health Nutr. 2015 Dec;18(17):3125-33. (PMID: 26091444)
Front Public Health. 2021 Sep 20;9:693281. (PMID: 34616704)
BMC Public Health. 2020 Apr 19;20(1):532. (PMID: 32306937)
J Nutr. 2010 Jan;140(1):153S-61S. (PMID: 19939996)
BMJ Glob Health. 2017 May 29;2(2):e000262. (PMID: 28966793)
Nat Commun. 2023 Sep 16;14(1):5761. (PMID: 37717010)
Matern Child Nutr. 2020 Jul;16(3):e12968. (PMID: 32048455)
Soc Sci Med. 2020 Nov;265:113298. (PMID: 32932006)
Am J Clin Nutr. 2021 Jan 4;113(1):7-16. (PMID: 33236086)
فهرسة مساهمة: Keywords: Armed conflicts; Climate variability; Food price inflation; Global acute malnutrition; Somalia
تواريخ الأحداث: Date Created: 20240517 Date Completed: 20240518 Latest Revision: 20240521
رمز التحديث: 20240521
مُعرف محوري في PubMed: PMC11102243
DOI: 10.1186/s41043-024-00557-9
PMID: 38760867
قاعدة البيانات: MEDLINE
الوصف
تدمد:2072-1315
DOI:10.1186/s41043-024-00557-9