دورية أكاديمية
Economic losses due to foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Ethiopian cattle.
| العنوان: | Economic losses due to foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Ethiopian cattle. |
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| المؤلفون: | Rasmussen P; Section of Animal Welfare and Disease Control, Department Veterinary and Animal Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark; Section of Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Global Burden of Animal Diseases (GBADs), UK. Electronic address: phr@sund.ku.dk., Shaw AP; Department of Livestock and One Health, Institute of Infection, Veterinary & Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK; Infection Medicine, Biomedical Sciences, Edinburgh Medical School, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK., Jemberu WT; Global Burden of Animal Diseases (GBADs), UK; University of Gondar, Gondar, Ethiopia., Knight-Jones T; Global Burden of Animal Diseases (GBADs), UK; International Livestock Research Institute (ILRI), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia., Conrady B; Section of Animal Welfare and Disease Control, Department Veterinary and Animal Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark., Apenteng OO; Section of Animal Welfare and Disease Control, Department Veterinary and Animal Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark., Cheng Y; Section of Animal Welfare and Disease Control, Department Veterinary and Animal Sciences, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark., Muñoz V; Section of Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Global Burden of Animal Diseases (GBADs), UK., Rushton J; Global Burden of Animal Diseases (GBADs), UK; Department of Livestock and One Health, Institute of Infection, Veterinary & Ecological Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK., Torgerson PR; Section of Epidemiology, Vetsuisse Faculty, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Global Burden of Animal Diseases (GBADs), UK. |
| المصدر: | Preventive veterinary medicine [Prev Vet Med] 2024 Sep; Vol. 230, pp. 106276. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Jul 05. |
| نوع المنشور: | Journal Article |
| اللغة: | English |
| بيانات الدورية: | Publisher: Elsevier Scientific Publishing Country of Publication: Netherlands NLM ID: 8217463 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1873-1716 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 01675877 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Prev Vet Med Subsets: MEDLINE |
| أسماء مطبوعة: | Publication: Amsterdam : Elsevier Scientific Publishing Original Publication: Amsterdam, Netherlands : Elsevier, [1982- |
| مواضيع طبية MeSH: | Foot-and-Mouth Disease*/epidemiology , Foot-and-Mouth Disease*/economics , Foot-and-Mouth Disease*/virology , Cattle Diseases*/epidemiology , Cattle Diseases*/economics , Cattle Diseases*/virology, Animals ; Cattle ; Ethiopia/epidemiology ; Female ; Disease Outbreaks/veterinary ; Disease Outbreaks/economics ; Male ; Monte Carlo Method |
| مستخلص: | Ethiopia's cattle population is among the largest in Africa and is burdened by frequent foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreaks. FMD is caused by several distinct and highly contagious viral strains that can result in acute disease in cattle, causing losses in productivity and impeding international trade. This economic simulation study considered four main sources of losses due to FMD in cattle: reduced milk yield, draft power yield, fertility, and increased mortality. Economic losses were estimated per case across age-sex strata in 89 Ethiopian administrative zones for the years 2010-2021 using a wide range of data to estimate distributions for 30 input variables in a series of Monte Carlo simulations. It was estimated that an average case of FMD in Ethiopian cattle results in losses (mean values reported followed 95 % confidence intervals in brackets) of US dollars (USD) 11 (USD 7-USD 16) per case. Losses resulting from an average outbreak were estimated to be USD 2300 (USD 1400-USD 3300), while national annual losses were estimated to be USD 0.9 Mil. (USD 0.2 Mil.-USD 2.3 Mil.). Per cow-year, based on a national cow population of approximately 39 Mil. head, these estimated annual losses are equivalent to losses of only USD 0.02 (USD 0.01-USD 0.06). Nationally, these losses were significantly less than previously estimated in the literature, with currently estimated losses more accurately reflecting the economic burden of FMD in Ethiopian cattle over the past decade. The relatively small estimated losses suggest that control efforts based on widespread vaccination in countries with primarily extensive cattle production systems, such as Ethiopia, are unlikely to be economically sound. Sensitivity analyses suggested losses would be far greater in intensive systems, and that certainty surrounding incidence rates is paramount to the formulation of economically sound animal healthpolicy in regions with endemic FMD. Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest. (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) |
| فهرسة مساهمة: | Keywords: Cattle; Economic; Ethiopia; FMD; Foot-and-mouth disease; Impact; Losses; Monte Carlo; Simulation |
| تواريخ الأحداث: | Date Created: 20240711 Date Completed: 20240812 Latest Revision: 20240812 |
| رمز التحديث: | 20240813 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106276 |
| PMID: | 38991426 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | MEDLINE |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 1873-1716 |
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| DOI: | 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106276 |