التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
| العنوان: |
Desarrollo industrial y restricción externa: el caso de México 1990-2021. (Spanish) |
| Alternate Title: |
Industrial Development and External Constraint: The Case of Mexico, 1990-2021. (English) |
| المؤلفون: |
Maldonado Tafoya, David Alberto |
| المصدر: |
Mexican Journal of Economics & Finance / Revista Mexicana de Economia y Finanzas; jul-sep2024, Vol. 19 Issue 3, p1-20, 20p |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: |
TECHNOLOGICAL innovations, SUPPLY & demand, VALUE chains, INDUSTRIAL goods, INDUSTRIAL policy |
| Abstract (English): |
The aim is to analyze the consistency of the BPCG model at the Mexican manufacturing industry level between 1990 and 2021. Using an ARDL model we estimate the strong version of the model including non-price-competitiveness factors and installed capacity on export function. The paper´s results are as follows: i) the Mexican manufacturing industry exhibits an external constraint to growth; ii) the export function responds positively to non-price competitiveness and installed capacity, and iii) the low manufacturing value added is associated with the disarticulation of the productive structure, the high demand for intermediate imported inputs and the insertion into the value chains in assembly activities. Emphasis should be made on promoting an industrial policy based on strengthening productive interconnection, promoting domestic technological capabilities and developing activities with high added value. Future research should focus on the evaluation of the impact of FDI and technological innovation by industrial reclassification or product type. The paper´s contribution lies in the extension of the MCRBP at the manufacturing level including technological competitiveness factors and their empirical evaluation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
| Abstract (Spanish): |
El presente trabajo tiene por objetivo examinar la consistencia del MCRBP a nivel de industria manufacturera mexicana entre 1990 y 2021. Con un modelo ARDL para panel se estimó la versión fuerte del modelo incorporando factores de competitividad no-precio y capacidad instalada a la función de exportaciones. Los principales resultados son: i) la industria presenta restricción externa al crecimiento; ii) la función de exportaciones responde positivamente a la competitividad no-precio y la capacidad instalada, y iii) el bajo valor agregado manufacturero se asocia a la desarticulación de la estructura productiva, la alta demanda por insumos intermedios importados y la inserción en las cadenas de valor en actividades ensambladoras. Se sugiere impulsar una política industrial asentada en la articulación productiva y desarrollo de capacidades tecnológicas en actividades con alto valor agregado. Para futuras investigaciones se deberá delimitar el impacto de la IED y la innovación tecnológica por reclasificación industrial o tipo de producto. La contribución reside en la extensión del MCRBP a nivel manufacturero incorporando factores de competitividad tecnológica y su evaluación empírica para determinar el aprovechamiento de las derramas tecnológicas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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| قاعدة البيانات: |
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