دورية أكاديمية
Modelling voter behaviours by geographic information technology: a case of Hong Kong in 2004.
| العنوان: | Modelling voter behaviours by geographic information technology: a case of Hong Kong in 2004. |
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| المؤلفون: | Lai, P.C., Mak, A.S.H., So, F.M., Leung, T.S., Kwong, K.H. |
| المصدر: | Annals of GIS; Mar2010, Vol. 16 Issue 1, p15-25, 11p, 4 Diagrams, 3 Charts, 1 Map |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | VOTERS, GEOGRAPHIC information systems, MODELING (Sculpture), ELECTIONS & psychology, VOTER turnout, LEGISLATIVE councils, ELECTION forecasting, PREDICTIVE tests, POLITICAL parties |
| مصطلحات جغرافية: | HONG Kong (China), CHINA |
| مستخلص: | Maps have been used widely to communicate election results and voter turnout. This article presents a practical approach to extracting and assembling the profiles of Hong Kong voters in the 2004 Legislative Council Election. It describes the use of modelling functions in a geographic information system to augment the examination of demographic and socio-economic constructs of voters and their voting behaviours. Voter profiles were used as predictors in forecasting election results. The predictive power of our model was assessed through visual and qualitative comparison with actual results of the election. The comparison showed that both maps exhibited similar patterns. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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| قاعدة البيانات: | Complementary Index |
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