| الوصف: |
Glavni cilj ovog rada bio je utvrditi i analizirati utjecaj situacijskih tehničko-taktičkih parametara na uspješnost u 1. Hrvatskoj nogometnoj ligi (1.HNL) u prvom dijelu natjecanja sezone 2021./2022. Uzorak je činilo ukupno 90 utakmica 1.HNL koja se te sezone igrala četverokružno i koja je brojila 10 klubova. Korišten je uzorak od 30 varijabli situacijske učinkovitosti preuzetih s aplikacije „SofaScore“. Uz deskriptivnu obradu podataka, za utvrđivanje značajnosti pojedinih varijabli s obzirom na ishod utakmice, korištena je multinomialna logistička regresija u računalnom programu IMB SPSS Statistics 20. Rezultati su pokazali kako su varijable koje imaju statistički važan utjecaj na ishode utakmice 1.HNL sljedeće: posjed lopte, udarci, udarci u okvir, zaleđa i velike prilike. Na temelju rezultata ovog rada, možemo zaključiti kako su ekipe koje igraju napadački nogomet s visokim postotkom posjeda i velikom frekvencijom napada (udarci, udarci u okvir, zaleđe i velike prilike) u konačnici uspješnije. Ovaj rad može poslužiti trenerima i nogometnim stručnjacima kako bi kvalitetnije planirali i programirali trenažne procese, strategiju i realizaciju utakmice. The main goal of this paper was to determine and analyze the influence of situational technical-tactical parameters on success in the 1st Croatian Football League (1.HNL) in the first part of the 2021/2022 season. The sample consisted of a total of 90 matches of the 1.HNL, which was played in four rounds that season and which included 10 clubs. A sample of 30 situational efficiency variables taken from the "SofaScore" application was used. In addition to descriptive data processing, multinomial logistic regression was used in the IMB SPSS Statistics 20 computer program to determine the significance of individual variables with regard to the outcome of the match. The results showed that the variables that have a statistically significant influence on the outcome of the 1.HNL match are the following: possession of the ball , shots, shots on goal, offsides and big chances. Based on the results of this paper, we can conclude that teams that play attacking football with a high percentage of possession and a high frequency of attacks (shots, shots on goal, offsides and big chances) are ultimately more successful. This work can serve coaches and football experts to better plan and program training processes, strategy and implementation of the match. |
