Voting power in the Council of the European Union: A comprehensive sensitivity analysis

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Voting power in the Council of the European Union: A comprehensive sensitivity analysis
المؤلفون: Petróczy, Dóra Gréta, Csató, László
سنة النشر: 2023
المجموعة: Computer Science
Physics (Other)
مصطلحات موضوعية: Physics - Physics and Society, Computer Science - Computer Science and Game Theory, Economics - Theoretical Economics, 91A80, 91B12
الوصف: The Council of the European Union (EU) is one of the main decision-making bodies of the EU. Many decisions require a qualified majority: the support of 55% of the member states (currently 15) that represent at least 65% of the total population. We investigate how the power distribution, based on the Shapley-Shubik index, and the proportion of winning coalitions change if these criteria are modified within reasonable bounds. The power of the two countries with about 4% of the total population each is found to be almost flat. The level of decisiveness decreases if the population criterion is above 68\% or the states criterion is at least 17. The proportion of winning coalitions can be increased from 13.2% to 20.8% (30.1%) such that the maximal relative change in the Shapley-Shubik indices remains below 3.5% (5.5%). Our results are indispensable to evaluate any proposal for reforming the qualified majority voting system.
Comment: 22 pages, 7 figures, 3 tables
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
URL الوصول: http://arxiv.org/abs/2312.16878
رقم الأكسشن: edsarx.2312.16878
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv