Causal knowledge engineering: A case study from COVID-19

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Causal knowledge engineering: A case study from COVID-19
المؤلفون: Mascaro, Steven, Wu, Yue, Pearson, Ross, Woodberry, Owen, Ramsay, Jessica, Snelling, Tom, Nicholson, Ann E.
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: Computer Science
مصطلحات موضوعية: Computer Science - Artificial Intelligence
الوصف: COVID-19 appeared abruptly in early 2020, requiring a rapid response amid a context of great uncertainty. Good quality data and knowledge was initially lacking, and many early models had to be developed with causal assumptions and estimations built in to supplement limited data, often with no reliable approach for identifying, validating and documenting these causal assumptions. Our team embarked on a knowledge engineering process to develop a causal knowledge base consisting of several causal BNs for diverse aspects of COVID-19. The unique challenges of the setting lead to experiments with the elicitation approach, and what emerged was a knowledge engineering method we call Causal Knowledge Engineering (CKE). The CKE provides a structured approach for building a causal knowledge base that can support the development of a variety of application-specific models. Here we describe the CKE method, and use our COVID-19 work as a case study to provide a detailed discussion and analysis of the method.
Comment: 22 pages (plus 19 pages in appendices), 9 figures, submitted for review
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
URL الوصول: http://arxiv.org/abs/2403.14100
رقم الأكسشن: edsarx.2403.14100
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv