HLOB -- Information Persistence and Structure in Limit Order Books

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: HLOB -- Information Persistence and Structure in Limit Order Books
المؤلفون: Briola, Antonio, Bartolucci, Silvia, Aste, Tomaso
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: Computer Science
Quantitative Finance
مصطلحات موضوعية: Quantitative Finance - Trading and Market Microstructure, Computer Science - Machine Learning
الوصف: We introduce a novel large-scale deep learning model for Limit Order Book mid-price changes forecasting, and we name it `HLOB'. This architecture (i) exploits the information encoded by an Information Filtering Network, namely the Triangulated Maximally Filtered Graph, to unveil deeper and non-trivial dependency structures among volume levels; and (ii) guarantees deterministic design choices to handle the complexity of the underlying system by drawing inspiration from the groundbreaking class of Homological Convolutional Neural Networks. We test our model against 9 state-of-the-art deep learning alternatives on 3 real-world Limit Order Book datasets, each including 15 stocks traded on the NASDAQ exchange, and we systematically characterize the scenarios where HLOB outperforms state-of-the-art architectures. Our approach sheds new light on the spatial distribution of information in Limit Order Books and on its degradation over increasing prediction horizons, narrowing the gap between microstructural modeling and deep learning-based forecasting in high-frequency financial markets.
Comment: 34 pages, 7 figures, 7 tables, 3 equations
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
URL الوصول: http://arxiv.org/abs/2405.18938
رقم الأكسشن: edsarx.2405.18938
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv