Unwinding Toxic Flow with Partial Information

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Unwinding Toxic Flow with Partial Information
المؤلفون: Barzykin, Alexander, Boyce, Robert, Neuman, Eyal
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: Quantitative Finance
مصطلحات موضوعية: Quantitative Finance - Trading and Market Microstructure, Quantitative Finance - Mathematical Finance, 91G10, 49N10, 49N90, 93E20, 93E11, 60G35
الوصف: We consider a central trading desk which aggregates the inflow of clients' orders with unobserved toxicity, i.e. persistent adverse directionality. The desk chooses either to internalise the inflow or externalise it to the market in a cost effective manner. In this model, externalising the order flow creates both price impact costs and an additional market feedback reaction for the inflow of trades. The desk's objective is to maximise the daily trading P&L subject to end of the day inventory penalization. We formulate this setting as a partially observable stochastic control problem and solve it in two steps. First, we derive the filtered dynamics of the inventory and toxicity, projected to the observed filtration, which turns the stochastic control problem into a fully observed problem. Then we use a variational approach in order to derive the unique optimal trading strategy. We illustrate our results for various scenarios in which the desk is facing momentum and mean-reverting toxicity. Our implementation shows that the P&L performance gap between the partially observable problem and the full information case are of order $0.01\%$ in all tested scenarios.
Comment: 52 pages, 10 figures
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
URL الوصول: http://arxiv.org/abs/2407.04510
رقم الأكسشن: edsarx.2407.04510
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv