دورية أكاديمية
Coevolution of Hydrological Cycle Components under Climate Change: The Case of the Garonne River in France
العنوان: | Coevolution of Hydrological Cycle Components under Climate Change: The Case of the Garonne River in France |
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المؤلفون: | Youen Grusson, François Anctil, Sabine Sauvage, José Miguel Sánchez Pérez |
المصدر: | Water, Vol 10, Iss 12, p 1870 (2018) |
بيانات النشر: | MDPI AG, 2018. |
سنة النشر: | 2018 |
المجموعة: | LCC:Hydraulic engineering LCC:Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes |
مصطلحات موضوعية: | water cycle, climate change, SWAT modelling, coevolution of water resources, blue and green water, Hydraulic engineering, TC1-978, Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes, TD201-500 |
الوصف: | Climate change is suspected to impact water circulation within the hydrological cycle at catchment scale. A SWAT model approach to assess the evolution of the many hydrological components of the Garonne catchment (Southern France) is deployed in this study. Performance over the calibration period (2000⁻2010) are satisfactory, with Nash⁻Sutcliffe ranging from 0.55 to 0.94 or R2 from 0.86 to 0.98. Similar performance values are obtained in validation (1962⁻2000). Water cycle is first analyzed based on past observed climatic data (1962⁻2010) to understand its variations and geographical spread. Comparison is then conducted against the different trends obtained from a climate ensemble over 2010⁻2050. Results show a strong impact on green water, such as a reduction of the soil water content (SWC) and a substantial increase in evapotranspiration (ET) in winter. In summer, however, some part of the watershed faces lower ET fluxes because of a lack of SWC to answer the evapotranspiratory demand, highlighting possible future deficits of green water stocks. Blue water fluxes are found significantly decreasing during summer, when in winter, discharge in the higher part of the watershed is found increasing because of a lower snow stock associated to an increase of liquid precipitation, benefiting surface runoff. |
نوع الوثيقة: | article |
وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
اللغة: | English |
تدمد: | 2073-4441 10121870 |
Relation: | https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/10/12/1870; https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441 |
DOI: | 10.3390/w10121870 |
URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/0255fc704f5c47e9966da3a98dab4ead |
رقم الأكسشن: | edsdoj.0255fc704f5c47e9966da3a98dab4ead |
قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
تدمد: | 20734441 10121870 |
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DOI: | 10.3390/w10121870 |