دورية أكاديمية

Physical inconsistencies in the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus in simple climate models

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Physical inconsistencies in the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus in simple climate models
المؤلفون: Roland Séférian, Thomas Bossy, Thomas Gasser, Zebedee Nichols, Kalyn Dorheim, Xuanming Su, Junichi Tsutsui, Yeray Santana-Falcón
المصدر: Communications Earth & Environment, Vol 5, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2024)
بيانات النشر: Nature Portfolio, 2024.
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: LCC:Geology
LCC:Environmental sciences
مصطلحات موضوعية: Geology, QE1-996.5, Environmental sciences, GE1-350
الوصف: Abstract The Ocean Heat-Carbon Nexus, linking ocean heat and carbon uptake, is crucial for understanding climate responses to cumulative carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and to net zero CO2 emissions. It results from a suite of processes involving the exchange of heat and carbon across the sea-air interface as well as their storage below the mixed layer and redistribution by the ocean large-scale circulation. The Ocean Heat and Carbon Nexus is assumed to be consistently represented across two modelling platforms used in the latest IPCC assessments: the Earth System Models (ESMs) and the Simple Climate Models (SCMs). However, our research shows significant deficiencies in state-of-the-art SCMs in replicating the ocean heat-carbon nexus of ESMs due to a crude treatment of the ocean thermal and carbon cycle coupling. With one SCM, we show that a more realistic heat-to-carbon uptake ratio exacerbates the projected warming by 0.1 °C in low overshoot scenarios and up to 0.2 °C in high overshoot scenarios. It is therefore critical to explore how SCMs’ physical inconsistencies, such as the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus, can affect future warming projections used in climate assessments, not just by SCMs in Working Group 3 but also by ESMs in Working Group 1 via SCM-driven emission-to-concentration translation.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2662-4435
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2662-4435
DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01464-x
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/860905e4ede442dcac8dcfd62a4b1267
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.860905e4ede442dcac8dcfd62a4b1267
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:26624435
DOI:10.1038/s43247-024-01464-x