دورية أكاديمية
Physical inconsistencies in the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus in simple climate models
العنوان: | Physical inconsistencies in the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus in simple climate models |
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المؤلفون: | Roland Séférian, Thomas Bossy, Thomas Gasser, Zebedee Nichols, Kalyn Dorheim, Xuanming Su, Junichi Tsutsui, Yeray Santana-Falcón |
المصدر: | Communications Earth & Environment, Vol 5, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2024) |
بيانات النشر: | Nature Portfolio, 2024. |
سنة النشر: | 2024 |
المجموعة: | LCC:Geology LCC:Environmental sciences |
مصطلحات موضوعية: | Geology, QE1-996.5, Environmental sciences, GE1-350 |
الوصف: | Abstract The Ocean Heat-Carbon Nexus, linking ocean heat and carbon uptake, is crucial for understanding climate responses to cumulative carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and to net zero CO2 emissions. It results from a suite of processes involving the exchange of heat and carbon across the sea-air interface as well as their storage below the mixed layer and redistribution by the ocean large-scale circulation. The Ocean Heat and Carbon Nexus is assumed to be consistently represented across two modelling platforms used in the latest IPCC assessments: the Earth System Models (ESMs) and the Simple Climate Models (SCMs). However, our research shows significant deficiencies in state-of-the-art SCMs in replicating the ocean heat-carbon nexus of ESMs due to a crude treatment of the ocean thermal and carbon cycle coupling. With one SCM, we show that a more realistic heat-to-carbon uptake ratio exacerbates the projected warming by 0.1 °C in low overshoot scenarios and up to 0.2 °C in high overshoot scenarios. It is therefore critical to explore how SCMs’ physical inconsistencies, such as the representation of the ocean heat-carbon nexus, can affect future warming projections used in climate assessments, not just by SCMs in Working Group 3 but also by ESMs in Working Group 1 via SCM-driven emission-to-concentration translation. |
نوع الوثيقة: | article |
وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
اللغة: | English |
تدمد: | 2662-4435 |
Relation: | https://doaj.org/toc/2662-4435 |
DOI: | 10.1038/s43247-024-01464-x |
URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/860905e4ede442dcac8dcfd62a4b1267 |
رقم الأكسشن: | edsdoj.860905e4ede442dcac8dcfd62a4b1267 |
قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
تدمد: | 26624435 |
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DOI: | 10.1038/s43247-024-01464-x |