تقرير
Advances in the prediction of MJO-Teleconnections in the S2S forecast systems
العنوان: | Advances in the prediction of MJO-Teleconnections in the S2S forecast systems |
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المؤلفون: | Cristiana Stan, Cheng Zheng, Edmund Kar-Man Chang, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, Chaim I. Garfinkel, Andrea M. Jenney, Hyemi Kim, Young-kwon Lim, Hai Lin, Andrew Robertson, Chen Schwartz, Frederic Vitart, Jiabao Wang, Priyanka Yadav |
المصدر: | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 103(6) |
بيانات النشر: | United States: NASA Center for Aerospace Information (CASI), 2022. |
سنة النشر: | 2022 |
مصطلحات موضوعية: | Meteorology And Climatology |
الوصف: | This study evaluates the ability of state-of-the-art subseasonal to seasonal (S2S) forecasting systems to represent and predict the teleconnections of the Madden Julian Oscillations and their effects on weather in terms of midlatitude weather patterns and North Atlantic tropical cyclones. This evaluation of forecast systems applies novel diagnostics developed to track teleconnections along their preferred pathways in the troposphere and stratosphere, and to measure the global and regional responses induced by teleconnections across both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres. Results of this study will help the modeling community understand to what extent the potential to predict the weather on S2S time scales is achieved by the current generation of forecasting systems, while informing where to focus further development efforts. The findings of this study will also provide impact modelers and decision makers with a better understanding of the potential of S2S predictions related to MJO teleconnections. |
نوع الوثيقة: | Report |
اللغة: | English |
تدمد: | 1520-0477 0003-0007 |
DOI: | 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0130.1 |
URL الوصول: | https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20210021958 |
ملاحظات: | NNG11HP16A CPAESS NA18NWS4620043B NSF AGS-1652289 AR Program 4600013361 NOAA NA20OAR4590315 PP00P2_170523 PP00P2_198896 ISF–NSFC joint research program 3259/19 EUH2020 677756 NOAA NA20OAR4590316 NOAA NA18NWS4680069 |
رقم الأكسشن: | edsnas.20210021958 |
قاعدة البيانات: | NASA Technical Reports |
تدمد: | 15200477 00030007 |
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DOI: | 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0130.1 |