دورية أكاديمية

Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Climate-induced variations in global wildfire danger from 1979 to 2013.
المؤلفون: Jolly WM; US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fire Sciences Laboratory, 5775 Highway 10 West, Missoula, Montana 59803, USA., Cochrane MA; Geospatial Sciences Center of Excellence (GSCE), South Dakota State University, 1021 Medary Avenue, Wecota Hall, Box 506B, Brookings, South Dakota 57007, USA., Freeborn PH; 1] US Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station, Fire Sciences Laboratory, 5775 Highway 10 West, Missoula, Montana 59803, USA [2] Geospatial Sciences Center of Excellence (GSCE), South Dakota State University, 1021 Medary Avenue, Wecota Hall, Box 506B, Brookings, South Dakota 57007, USA., Holden ZA; US Forest Service Region 1, 200 East Broadway Street, Missoula, Montana 59802, USA., Brown TJ; Desert Research Institute (DRI), Western Regional Climate Center, 2215 Raggio Parkway, Reno, Nevada 89512-1095, USA., Williamson GJ; School of Biological Sciences, The University of Tasmania, Private Bag 55, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia., Bowman DM; School of Biological Sciences, The University of Tasmania, Private Bag 55, Hobart, Tasmania 7001, Australia.
المصدر: Nature communications [Nat Commun] 2015 Jul 14; Vol. 6, pp. 7537. Date of Electronic Publication: 2015 Jul 14.
نوع المنشور: Journal Article; Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.
اللغة: English
بيانات الدورية: Publisher: Nature Pub. Group Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101528555 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2041-1723 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 20411723 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Nat Commun Subsets: PubMed not MEDLINE
أسماء مطبوعة: Original Publication: [London] : Nature Pub. Group
مستخلص: Climate strongly influences global wildfire activity, and recent wildfire surges may signal fire weather-induced pyrogeographic shifts. Here we use three daily global climate data sets and three fire danger indices to develop a simple annual metric of fire weather season length, and map spatio-temporal trends from 1979 to 2013. We show that fire weather seasons have lengthened across 29.6 million km(2) (25.3%) of the Earth's vegetated surface, resulting in an 18.7% increase in global mean fire weather season length. We also show a doubling (108.1% increase) of global burnable area affected by long fire weather seasons (>1.0 σ above the historical mean) and an increased global frequency of long fire weather seasons across 62.4 million km(2) (53.4%) during the second half of the study period. If these fire weather changes are coupled with ignition sources and available fuel, they could markedly impact global ecosystems, societies, economies and climate.
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تواريخ الأحداث: Date Created: 20150715 Date Completed: 20160111 Latest Revision: 20181113
رمز التحديث: 20221213
مُعرف محوري في PubMed: PMC4803474
DOI: 10.1038/ncomms8537
PMID: 26172867
قاعدة البيانات: MEDLINE
الوصف
تدمد:2041-1723
DOI:10.1038/ncomms8537