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Persistent northward North Atlantic tropical cyclone track migration over the past five centuries.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Persistent northward North Atlantic tropical cyclone track migration over the past five centuries.
المؤلفون: Baldini LM; Department of Earth Sciences, Durham University, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK., Baldini JU; Department of Earth Sciences, Durham University, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK., McElwaine JN; Department of Earth Sciences, Durham University, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK., Frappier AB; Department of Geosciences, Skidmore College, 815 North Broadway, Saratoga Springs, New York, 12866, USA., Asmerom Y; Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87106, USA., Liu KB; Department of Oceanography and Coastal Sciences, Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, LA 70803, USA., Prufer KM; Department of Anthropology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87106, USA., Ridley HE; Department of Earth Sciences, Durham University, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK., Polyak V; Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87106, USA., Kennett DJ; Department of Anthropology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, Pennsylvania 16802, USA., Macpherson CG; Department of Earth Sciences, Durham University, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK., Aquino VV; Department of Anthropology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM 87106, USA., Awe J; Institute of Archaeology, Belmopan, Belize.; Department of Anthropology, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ 86011-5200, USA., Breitenbach SF; Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing Street, Cambridge, CB2 3EQ, UK.; Institute for Geology, Mineralogy &Geophysics, Ruhr-Universität Bochum, Unversitätsstr. 150, 44801, Bochum, Germany.
المصدر: Scientific reports [Sci Rep] 2016 Nov 23; Vol. 6, pp. 37522. Date of Electronic Publication: 2016 Nov 23.
نوع المنشور: Journal Article; Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
اللغة: English
بيانات الدورية: Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101563288 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2045-2322 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 20452322 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Sci Rep Subsets: PubMed not MEDLINE
أسماء مطبوعة: Original Publication: London : Nature Publishing Group, copyright 2011-
مستخلص: Accurately predicting future tropical cyclone risk requires understanding the fundamental controls on tropical cyclone dynamics. Here we present an annually-resolved 450-year reconstruction of western Caribbean tropical cyclone activity developed using a new coupled carbon and oxygen isotope ratio technique in an exceptionally well-dated stalagmite from Belize. Western Caribbean tropical cyclone activity peaked at 1650 A.D., coincident with maximum Little Ice Age cooling, and decreased gradually until the end of the record in 1983. Considered with other reconstructions, the new record suggests that the mean track of Cape Verde tropical cyclones shifted gradually north-eastward from the western Caribbean toward the North American east coast over the last 450 years. Since ~1870 A.D., these shifts were largely driven by anthropogenic greenhouse gas and sulphate aerosol emissions. Our results strongly suggest that future emission scenarios will result in more frequent tropical cyclone impacts on the financial and population centres of the northeastern United States.
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تواريخ الأحداث: Date Created: 20161124 Date Completed: 20180509 Latest Revision: 20181113
رمز التحديث: 20240628
مُعرف محوري في PubMed: PMC5120344
DOI: 10.1038/srep37522
PMID: 27876831
قاعدة البيانات: MEDLINE
الوصف
تدمد:2045-2322
DOI:10.1038/srep37522