دورية أكاديمية
Factors Associated With Outcomes of Patients With Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis and Development and Validation of a Risk Scoring System.
العنوان: | Factors Associated With Outcomes of Patients With Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis and Development and Validation of a Risk Scoring System. |
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المؤلفون: | Goode EC; Norfolk and Norwich University Hospital, Norwich, United Kingdom.; Academic Department of Medical Genetics, Addenbrooke's Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.; Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, Hinxton, Cambridge, United Kingdom.; Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom.; Cambridge Transplant Centre, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, United Kingdom., Clark AB; Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom., Mells GF; Academic Department of Medical Genetics, Addenbrooke's Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom., Srivastava B; Academic Department of Medical Genetics, Addenbrooke's Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom., Spiess K; Academic Department of Medical Genetics, Addenbrooke's Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom., Gelson WTH; Cambridge Transplant Centre, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, United Kingdom., Trivedi PJ; National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, Birmingham, United Kingdom.; Institute of Immunology & Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom.; Centre for Rare Diseases, Institute of Translational Medicine, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom., Lynch KD; Translational Gastroenterology Unit, John Radcliffe Hospital, and Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Castren E; Norfolk and Norwich University Hospital, Norwich, United Kingdom., Vesterhus MN; Norwegian PSC Research Center, Department of Transplantation Medicine, Oslo University Hospital Rikshospitalet, Oslo, Norway.; Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway., Karlsen TH; Norwegian PSC Research Center, Department of Transplantation Medicine, Oslo University Hospital Rikshospitalet, Oslo, Norway.; Institute of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway., Ji SG; Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, Hinxton, Cambridge, United Kingdom., Anderson CA; Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute, Hinxton, Cambridge, United Kingdom., Thorburn D; Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom., Hudson M; Liver Medicine and Transplantation Service, Freeman Hospital, Newcastle, United Kingdom., Heneghan MA; Institute of Liver Studies, Kings College Hospital, London, United Kingdom., Aldersley MA; Department of Hepatology, Leeds Teaching Hospital, Leeds, United Kingdom., Bathgate A; Scottish Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom., Sandford RN; Academic Department of Medical Genetics, Addenbrooke's Hospital, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom., Alexander GJ; Cambridge Transplant Centre, Addenbrooke's Hospital, Cambridge, United Kingdom.; Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom., Chapman RW; Translational Gastroenterology Unit, John Radcliffe Hospital, and Nuffield Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom., Walmsley M; PSC Support, Oxfordshire, United Kingdom., Hirschfield GM; National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Birmingham Biomedical Research Centre, Birmingham, United Kingdom.; Institute of Immunology & Immunotherapy, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom.; Centre for Rare Diseases, Institute of Translational Medicine, University Hospitals Birmingham, Birmingham, United Kingdom.; Toronto Centre for Liver Disease, University Health Network and University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada., Rushbrook SM; Norfolk and Norwich University Hospital, Norwich, United Kingdom.; Norwich Medical School, University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom. |
مؤلفون مشاركون: | UK-PSC Consortium |
المصدر: | Hepatology (Baltimore, Md.) [Hepatology] 2019 May; Vol. 69 (5), pp. 2120-2135. Date of Electronic Publication: 2019 Mar 04. |
نوع المنشور: | Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't; Validation Study |
اللغة: | English |
بيانات الدورية: | Publisher: Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 8302946 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1527-3350 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 02709139 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Hepatology Subsets: MEDLINE |
أسماء مطبوعة: | Publication: 2023- : [Philadelphia] : Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. Original Publication: Baltimore, MD : Williams & Wilkins, [c1981]- |
مواضيع طبية MeSH: | Cholangitis, Sclerosing/*mortality, Alkaline Phosphatase/blood ; Cholangitis, Sclerosing/blood ; Cholangitis, Sclerosing/genetics ; Cholangitis, Sclerosing/surgery ; Female ; HLA Antigens/genetics ; Humans ; Liver Transplantation ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Risk Assessment ; United Kingdom/epidemiology |
مستخلص: | We sought to identify factors that are predictive of liver transplantation or death in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC), and to develop and validate a contemporaneous risk score for use in a real-world clinical setting. Analyzing data from 1,001 patients recruited to the UK-PSC research cohort, we evaluated clinical variables for their association with 2-year and 10-year outcome through Cox-proportional hazards and C-statistic analyses. We generated risk scores for short-term and long-term outcome prediction, validating their use in two independent cohorts totaling 451 patients. Thirty-six percent of the derivation cohort were transplanted or died over a cumulative follow-up of 7,904 years. Serum alkaline phosphatase of at least 2.4 × upper limit of normal at 1 year after diagnosis was predictive of 10-year outcome (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.05; C = 0.63; median transplant-free survival 63 versus 108 months; P < 0.0001), as was the presence of extrahepatic biliary disease (HR = 1.45; P = 0.01). We developed two risk scoring systems based on age, values of bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase, albumin, platelets, presence of extrahepatic biliary disease, and variceal hemorrhage, which predicted 2-year and 10-year outcomes with good discrimination (C statistic = 0.81 and 0.80, respectively). Both UK-PSC risk scores were well-validated in our external cohort and outperformed the Mayo Clinic and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) scores (C statistic = 0.75 and 0.63, respectively). Although heterozygosity for the previously validated human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DR*03:01 risk allele predicted increased risk of adverse outcome (HR = 1.33; P = 0.001), its addition did not improve the predictive accuracy of the UK-PSC risk scores. Conclusion: Our analyses, based on a detailed clinical evaluation of a large representative cohort of participants with PSC, furthers our understanding of clinical risk markers and reports the development and validation of a real-world scoring system to identify those patients most likely to die or require liver transplantation. (© 2018 The Authors. Hepatology published by Wiley Periodicals, Inc. on behalf of American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases.) |
التعليقات: | Comment in: Hepatology. 2020 Jan;71(1):398-399. (PMID: 31544247) Comment in: Hepatology. 2020 Jan;71(1):399-400. (PMID: 31550385) Comment in: Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2023 Apr 1;35(4):480-487. (PMID: 36719819) |
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معلومات مُعتمدة: | International Norwegian PSC Research Center; International Addenbrooke's Charitable Trust, Cambridge University Hospitals; International National Institute of Health Research; International Isaac Newton Trust; International Health Research; United Kingdom DH_ Department of Health |
المشرفين على المادة: | 0 (HLA Antigens) EC 3.1.3.1 (Alkaline Phosphatase) |
تواريخ الأحداث: | Date Created: 20181220 Date Completed: 20200615 Latest Revision: 20230423 |
رمز التحديث: | 20240628 |
مُعرف محوري في PubMed: | PMC6519245 |
DOI: | 10.1002/hep.30479 |
PMID: | 30566748 |
قاعدة البيانات: | MEDLINE |
تدمد: | 1527-3350 |
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DOI: | 10.1002/hep.30479 |