دورية أكاديمية

Derivation and external validation of the SHIeLD score for predicting outcome in normotensive pulmonary embolism.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Derivation and external validation of the SHIeLD score for predicting outcome in normotensive pulmonary embolism.
المؤلفون: Freitas P; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal. Electronic address: pnfreitas@chlo.min-saude.pt., Santos AR; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Ferreira AM; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Oliveira A; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Gonçalves M; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Corte-Real A; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal., Lameiras C; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal., Maurício J; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal., Ornelas É; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal., Matos C; Internal Medicine Department III, Hospital Prof. Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal., Faria D; Cardiology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal., Augusto J; Cardiology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal., Simões J; Cardiology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal., Ferreira I; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Pedroso A; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Santos AC; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Gago M; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Oliveira JD; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Antunes RM; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Correia D; Radiology Department, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Lynce A; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Brito J; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Aguiar C; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Ferreira J; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Morais C; Cardiology Department, Hospital Professor Doutor Fernando Fonseca, Lisbon, Portugal., Campos L; Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de São Francisco Xavier, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Raposo L; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal., Mendes M; Cardiology Department, Hospital de Santa Cruz, Centro Hospitalar Lisboa Ocidental, Lisbon, Portugal.
المصدر: International journal of cardiology [Int J Cardiol] 2019 Apr 15; Vol. 281, pp. 119-124. Date of Electronic Publication: 2018 Dec 28.
نوع المنشور: Journal Article
اللغة: English
بيانات الدورية: Publisher: Elsevier Country of Publication: Netherlands NLM ID: 8200291 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1874-1754 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 01675273 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Int J Cardiol Subsets: MEDLINE
أسماء مطبوعة: Publication: Amsterdam : Elsevier
Original Publication: Amsterdam : Elsevier/North-Holland Biomedical Press, c1981-
مواضيع طبية MeSH: Severity of Illness Index*, Pulmonary Embolism/*diagnosis , Pulmonary Embolism/*physiopathology, Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Cohort Studies ; Female ; Follow-Up Studies ; Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Prognosis ; Reproducibility of Results ; Retrospective Studies ; Treatment Outcome
مستخلص: Background: Identifying patients with normotensive pulmonary embolism (PE) who may benefit from thrombolysis remains challenging. We sought to develop and validate a score to predict 30-days PE-related mortality and/or rescue thrombolysis.
Methods: We retrospectively assessed 554 patients with normotensive PE. Independent predictors of the studied endpoint were identified from variables available at admission in the emergency department and were used to create a score. The model was validated in 308 patients from a separate hospital.
Results: A total of 64 patients died or needed rescue thrombolysis (44 in the derivation cohort). Four independent prognostic factors were identified: Shock index ≥ 1.0 (OR 3.33; 95% CI 1.40-7.93; P = 0.006), HypoxaemIa by the PaO 2 /FiO 2 ratio (OR 0.92 per 10 units; 95% CI 0.88-0.97; P < 0.001), Lactate (OR 1.38 per mmol/L; 95% CI 1.09-1.75; P = 0.008) and cardiovascular Dysfunction (OR 5.67; 95% CI 2.60-12.33; P < 0.001) - SHIeLD score. In the development cohort, event rates for each risk tercile were 0.0%, 2.2%, and 21.6%. In the validation cohort, corresponding rates were 0.0%, 1.9%, and 14.3%. The C-statistic was 0.90 (95% CI 0.86-0.94, P < 0.001) in the derivation cohort and 0.82 (95% CI 0.75-0.89, P < 0.001) in the validation cohort. Decision curve analysis showed that the SHIeLD score is able to accurately identify more true positive cases than the European Society of Cardiology decision criteria.
Conclusions: A risk score to predict 30-days PE-related mortality and/or rescue thrombolysis in patients with normotensive PE was developed and validated. This score may assist physicians in selecting patients for closer monitoring or aggressive treatment strategy.
(Copyright © 2018 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)
التعليقات: Comment in: Int J Cardiol. 2019 Apr 15;281:125-126. (PMID: 30711268)
فهرسة مساهمة: Keywords: Biomarkers; NT-proBNP; Pulmonary embolism; Risk assessment; Troponin
تواريخ الأحداث: Date Created: 20190115 Date Completed: 20191224 Latest Revision: 20191224
رمز التحديث: 20240628
DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2018.12.062
PMID: 30638984
قاعدة البيانات: MEDLINE
الوصف
تدمد:1874-1754
DOI:10.1016/j.ijcard.2018.12.062