دورية أكاديمية
أعرض في EDS

Combating cholera by building predictive capabilities for pathogenic Vibrio cholerae in Yemen.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Combating cholera by building predictive capabilities for pathogenic Vibrio cholerae in Yemen.
المؤلفون: Usmani M; GeoHealth and Hydrology Laboratory, Department of Environmental Engineering Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA., Brumfield KD; Maryland Pathogen Research Institute, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA.; Institute for Advanced Computer Studies, University of Maryland, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA., Magers BM; GeoHealth and Hydrology Laboratory, Department of Environmental Engineering Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA., Chaves-Gonzalez J; United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs, New York, NY, USA., Ticehurst H; Meteorological Office, Exeter, UK., Barciela R; Meteorological Office, Exeter, UK., McBean F; Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office, London, UK., Colwell RR; Maryland Pathogen Research Institute, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA.; Institute for Advanced Computer Studies, University of Maryland, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, 20742, USA., Jutla A; GeoHealth and Hydrology Laboratory, Department of Environmental Engineering Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA. antar.jutla@essie.ufl.edu.
المصدر: Scientific reports [Sci Rep] 2023 Feb 08; Vol. 13 (1), pp. 2255. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Feb 08.
نوع المنشور: Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
اللغة: English
بيانات الدورية: Publisher: Nature Publishing Group Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101563288 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2045-2322 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 20452322 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Sci Rep Subsets: MEDLINE
أسماء مطبوعة: Original Publication: London : Nature Publishing Group, copyright 2011-
مواضيع طبية MeSH: Vibrio cholerae* , Cholera*/epidemiology , Cholera*/prevention & control , Cholera*/microbiology, Humans ; Yemen/epidemiology ; Disease Outbreaks/prevention & control ; Public Health
مستخلص: Cholera remains a global public health threat in regions where social vulnerabilities intersect with climate and weather processes that impact infectious Vibrio cholerae. While access to safe drinking water and sanitation facilities limit cholera outbreaks, sheer cost of building such infrastructure limits the ability to safeguard the population. Here, using Yemen as an example where cholera outbreak was reported in 2016, we show how predictive abilities for forecasting risk, employing sociodemographical, microbiological, and climate information of cholera, can aid in combating disease outbreak. An epidemiological analysis using Bradford Hill Criteria was employed in near-real-time to understand a predictive model's outputs and cholera cases in Yemen. We note that the model predicted cholera risk at least four weeks in advance for all governorates of Yemen with overall 72% accuracy (varies with the year). We argue the development of anticipatory decision-making frameworks for climate modulated diseases to design intervention activities and limit exposure of pathogens preemptively.
(© 2023. The Author(s).)
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تواريخ الأحداث: Date Created: 20230209 Date Completed: 20230210 Latest Revision: 20230318
رمز التحديث: 20240513
مُعرف محوري في PubMed: PMC9908932
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-22946-y
PMID: 36755108
قاعدة البيانات: MEDLINE
الوصف
تدمد:2045-2322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-022-22946-y