دورية أكاديمية
أعرض في EDS

The illusion of personal health decisions for infectious disease management: disease spread in social contact networks.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: The illusion of personal health decisions for infectious disease management: disease spread in social contact networks.
المؤلفون: Michalska-Smith M; Department of Ecology, Evolution and behavior, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.; Department of Plant Pathology, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA., Enns EA; School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA., White LA; National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center, University of Maryland, Annapolis, MD, USA., Gilbertson MLJ; Department of Veterinary Population Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA., Craft ME; Department of Ecology, Evolution and behavior, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
المصدر: Royal Society open science [R Soc Open Sci] 2023 Mar 29; Vol. 10 (3), pp. 221122. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Mar 29 (Print Publication: 2023).
نوع المنشور: Journal Article
اللغة: English
بيانات الدورية: Publisher: Royal Society Publishing Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101647528 Publication Model: eCollection Cited Medium: Print ISSN: 2054-5703 (Print) Linking ISSN: 20545703 NLM ISO Abbreviation: R Soc Open Sci Subsets: PubMed not MEDLINE
أسماء مطبوعة: Original Publication: London : Royal Society Publishing, 2014-
مستخلص: Close contacts between individuals provide opportunities for the transmission of diseases, including COVID-19. While individuals take part in many different types of interactions, including those with classmates, co-workers and household members, it is the conglomeration of all of these interactions that produces the complex social contact network interconnecting individuals across the population. Thus, while an individual might decide their own risk tolerance in response to a threat of infection, the consequences of such decisions are rarely so confined, propagating far beyond any one person. We assess the effect of different population-level risk-tolerance regimes, population structure in the form of age and household-size distributions, and different interaction types on epidemic spread in plausible human contact networks to gain insight into how contact network structure affects pathogen spread through a population. In particular, we find that behavioural changes by vulnerable individuals in isolation are insufficient to reduce those individuals' infection risk and that population structure can have varied and counteracting effects on epidemic outcomes. The relative impact of each interaction type was contingent on assumptions underlying contact network construction, stressing the importance of empirical validation. Taken together, these results promote a nuanced understanding of disease spread on contact networks, with implications for public health strategies.
Competing Interests: We declare we have no competing interests.
(© 2023 The Authors.)
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معلومات مُعتمدة: T32 OD010993 United States OD NIH HHS
فهرسة مساهمة: Keywords: disease dynamics; disease mitigation; interaction types; multi-layer contact network; network structure; risk tolerance
سلسلة جزيئية: figshare 10.6084/m9.figshare.c.6472285
تواريخ الأحداث: Date Created: 20230331 Latest Revision: 20231101
رمز التحديث: 20240628
مُعرف محوري في PubMed: PMC10049757
DOI: 10.1098/rsos.221122
PMID: 36998767
قاعدة البيانات: MEDLINE
الوصف
تدمد:2054-5703
DOI:10.1098/rsos.221122