دورية أكاديمية
Modernizing the design and analysis of prevalence surveys for neglected tropical diseases.
| العنوان: | Modernizing the design and analysis of prevalence surveys for neglected tropical diseases. |
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| المؤلفون: | Diggle PJ; CHICAS, Lancaster Medical School, Lancaster University, Lancaster, LA1 3YF, UK., Fronterre C; CHICAS, Lancaster Medical School, Lancaster University, Lancaster, LA1 3YF, UK., Gass K; Task Force for Global Health, 325 Swanton Way, Decatur, 30030, GA, USA., Hundley L; Task Force for Global Health, 325 Swanton Way, Decatur, 30030, GA, USA., Niles-Robin R; Neglected Tropical Disease Program, Vector Control Services, Ministry of Health, Georgetown, Guyana., Sampson A; Neglected Tropical Disease Program, Vector Control Services, Ministry of Health, Georgetown, Guyana., Morice A; Neglected, Tropical, and Vector-Borne Diseases Unit, Communicable Diseases and Environmental Determinants of Health Department, Pan American Health Organization, Washington, 20037, DC, USA., Scholte RC; Neglected, Tropical, and Vector-Borne Diseases Unit, Communicable Diseases and Environmental Determinants of Health Department, Pan American Health Organization, Washington, 20037, DC, USA. |
| المصدر: | Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences [Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci] 2023 Oct 09; Vol. 378 (1887), pp. 20220276. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Aug 21. |
| نوع المنشور: | Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't |
| اللغة: | English |
| بيانات الدورية: | Publisher: Royal Society Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 7503623 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1471-2970 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 09628436 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci Subsets: MEDLINE |
| أسماء مطبوعة: | Original Publication: London : Royal Society, 1934- |
| مواضيع طبية MeSH: | Albendazole* , Diethylcarbamazine*, Humans ; Prevalence ; Ivermectin ; London ; Neglected Diseases/epidemiology |
| مستخلص: | Current WHO guidelines set prevalence thresholds below which a neglected tropical disease can be considered to have been eliminated as a public health problem, and specify how surveys to assess whether elimination has been achieved should be designed and analysed, based on classical survey sampling methods. In this paper, we describe an alternative approach based on geospatial statistical modelling. We first show the gains in efficiency that can be obtained by exploiting any spatial correlation in the underlying prevalence. We then suggest that the current guidelines' implicit use of a significance testing argument is not appropriate; instead, we argue for a predictive inferential framework, leading to design criteria based on controlling the rates at which areas whose true prevalence lies above and below the elimination threshold are incorrectly classified. We describe how this approach naturally accommodates context-specific information in the form of georeferenced covariates that have been shown to be predictive of disease prevalence. Finally, we give a progress report of an ongoing collaboration with the Guyana Ministry of Health Neglected Tropical Disease programme on the design of an IDA (ivermectin, diethylcarbamazine and albendazole) Impact Survey of lymphatic filariasis to be conducted in Guyana in early 2023. This article is part of the theme issue 'Challenges and opportunities in the fight against neglected tropical diseases: a decade from the London Declaration on NTDs'. |
| References: | Int J Epidemiol. 1989 Mar;18(1):269-74. (PMID: 2656561) Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2022 Jun;41:100391. (PMID: 35691660) J Infect Dis. 2020 Jun 11;221(Suppl 5):S554-S560. (PMID: 31930383) Ann Trop Med Parasitol. 2007 Sep;101(6):499-509. (PMID: 17716433) Clin Infect Dis. 2021 Jun 14;72(Suppl 3):S172-S179. (PMID: 33905476) Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg. 2021 Mar 6;115(3):208-210. (PMID: 33587142) |
| فهرسة مساهمة: | Keywords: NTD; geospatial methods; prevalence survey |
| المشرفين على المادة: | F4216019LN (Albendazole) V867Q8X3ZD (Diethylcarbamazine) 70288-86-7 (Ivermectin) |
| تواريخ الأحداث: | Date Created: 20230820 Date Completed: 20230822 Latest Revision: 20230920 |
| رمز التحديث: | 20240829 |
| مُعرف محوري في PubMed: | PMC10440170 |
| DOI: | 10.1098/rstb.2022.0276 |
| PMID: | 37598704 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | MEDLINE |
| تدمد: | 1471-2970 |
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| DOI: | 10.1098/rstb.2022.0276 |