دورية أكاديمية
Effects of boosting and waning in highly exposed populations on dengue epidemic dynamics.
العنوان: | Effects of boosting and waning in highly exposed populations on dengue epidemic dynamics. |
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المؤلفون: | Aogo RA; Viral Epidemiology and Immunity Unit, Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892-3203, USA., Zambrana JV; Sustainable Sciences Institute, Managua 14007, Nicaragua.; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-2029, USA., Sanchez N; Sustainable Sciences Institute, Managua 14007, Nicaragua., Ojeda S; Sustainable Sciences Institute, Managua 14007, Nicaragua., Kuan G; Sustainable Sciences Institute, Managua 14007, Nicaragua.; Centro de Salud Sócrates Flores Vivas, Ministry of Health, Managua 12014, Nicaragua., Balmaseda A; Sustainable Sciences Institute, Managua 14007, Nicaragua.; Laboratorio Nacional de Virología, Centro Nacional de Diagnóstico y Referencia, Ministry of Health, Managua 16064, Nicaragua., Gordon A; Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109-2029, USA., Harris E; Division of Infectious Diseases and Vaccinology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA 94720-3370, USA., Katzelnick LC; Viral Epidemiology and Immunity Unit, Laboratory of Infectious Diseases, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD 20892-3203, USA. |
المصدر: | Science translational medicine [Sci Transl Med] 2023 Nov 15; Vol. 15 (722), pp. eadi1734. Date of Electronic Publication: 2023 Nov 15. |
نوع المنشور: | Journal Article |
اللغة: | English |
بيانات الدورية: | Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 101505086 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1946-6242 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 19466234 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Sci Transl Med Subsets: MEDLINE |
أسماء مطبوعة: | Original Publication: Washington, DC : American Association for the Advancement of Science |
مواضيع طبية MeSH: | Dengue*/epidemiology , Dengue Virus* , Zika Virus Infection* , Zika Virus*, Adult ; Child ; Humans ; Antibodies, Viral ; Cross Reactions |
مستخلص: | Sequential infection with multiple dengue virus (DENV) serotypes is thought to induce enduring protection against dengue disease. However, long-term antibody waning has been observed after repeated DENV infection. Here, we provide evidence that highly immune Nicaraguan children and adults ( n = 4478) experience boosting and waning of antibodies during and after major Zika and dengue epidemics. We develop a susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible (SIRS-type) model that tracks immunity by titer rather than number of infections to show that boosts in highly immune individuals can contribute to herd immunity, delaying their susceptibility to transmissible infection. In contrast, our model of lifelong immunity in highly immune individuals, as previously assumed, results in complete disease eradication after introduction. Periodic epidemics under this scenario can only be sustained with a constant influx of infected individuals into the population or a high basic reproductive number. We also find that Zika virus infection can boost DENV immunity and produce delays and then surges in dengue epidemics, as observed with real epidemiological data. This work provides insight into factors shaping periodicity in dengue incidence and may inform vaccine efforts to maintain population immunity. |
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معلومات مُعتمدة: | HHSN272201000026C United States AI NIAID NIH HHS; R01 AI120997 United States AI NIAID NIH HHS; HHSN272201400006C United States AI NIAID NIH HHS; U01 AI153416 United States AI NIAID NIH HHS; P01 AI106695 United States AI NIAID NIH HHS; U19 AI118610 United States AI NIAID NIH HHS; R01 AI099631 United States AI NIAID NIH HHS |
المشرفين على المادة: | 0 (Antibodies, Viral) |
تواريخ الأحداث: | Date Created: 20231115 Date Completed: 20231117 Latest Revision: 20240617 |
رمز التحديث: | 20240617 |
مُعرف محوري في PubMed: | PMC11001200 |
DOI: | 10.1126/scitranslmed.adi1734 |
PMID: | 37967199 |
قاعدة البيانات: | MEDLINE |
تدمد: | 1946-6242 |
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DOI: | 10.1126/scitranslmed.adi1734 |