دورية أكاديمية
Ecological niche modeling analysis (Cx. pipiens), potential risk and projection of Dirofilaria spp. infection in Greece.
| العنوان: | Ecological niche modeling analysis (Cx. pipiens), potential risk and projection of Dirofilaria spp. infection in Greece. |
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| المؤلفون: | Rodríguez-Escolar I; Zoonotic Diseases and One Health group, Faculty of Pharmacy, Biomedical Research Institute of Salamanca (IBSAL), University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain., Hernández-Lambraño RE; Biodiversity, Human Diversity and Conservation Biology Research Group, Campus Miguel Unamuno, Salamanca, University of Salamanca, Spain., Sánchez-Agudo JÁ; Biodiversity, Human Diversity and Conservation Biology Research Group, Campus Miguel Unamuno, Salamanca, University of Salamanca, Spain; Centre for Environmental Studies and Rural Dynamization (CEADIR), University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain., Collado-Cuadrado M; Zoonotic Diseases and One Health group, Faculty of Pharmacy, Biomedical Research Institute of Salamanca (IBSAL), University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain., Sioutas G; Laboratory of Parasitology and Parasitic Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki 54124, Greece., Papadopoulos E; Laboratory of Parasitology and Parasitic Diseases, School of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki 54124, Greece., Morchón R; Zoonotic Diseases and One Health group, Faculty of Pharmacy, Biomedical Research Institute of Salamanca (IBSAL), University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain; Centre for Environmental Studies and Rural Dynamization (CEADIR), University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain. Electronic address: rmorgar@usal.es. |
| المصدر: | Veterinary parasitology [Vet Parasitol] 2024 Jun; Vol. 328, pp. 110172. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Mar 19. |
| نوع المنشور: | Journal Article |
| اللغة: | English |
| بيانات الدورية: | Publisher: Elsevier Country of Publication: Netherlands NLM ID: 7602745 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1873-2550 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 03044017 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Vet Parasitol Subsets: MEDLINE |
| أسماء مطبوعة: | Publication: Amsterdam : Elsevier Original Publication: Amsterdam : Elsevier Scientific Pub. Co. |
| مواضيع طبية MeSH: | Dirofilariasis*/epidemiology , Dirofilariasis*/parasitology , Ecosystem* , Culex*/parasitology, Animals ; Greece/epidemiology ; Dirofilaria ; Dogs ; Dog Diseases/epidemiology ; Dog Diseases/parasitology ; Humans ; Models, Biological ; Risk Factors |
| مستخلص: | Vector-borne diseases continue to increase worldwide. Dirofilariosis is one of the most common vector-borne zoonotic diseases, mainly caused by Dirofilaria spp. (D. immitis and D. repens) and spread by culicid mosquitoes of different species. Greece is one of the countries in southern Europe where it is traditionally endemic, and its distribution is not homogeneous. The aim of this study was to develop an environmental model for Greece that reflects the suitability of the ecological niche for Dirofilaria spp. infection risk and its projection until 2080. For this purpose, we used the potential distribution of suitable habitats for Culex pipiens calculated using an ecological niche model (ENM) and the potential number of generations of Dirofilaria spp. The ecological niche model of Cx. pipiens in Greece showed good predictive power (AUC=0.897) with the parasite at a resolution of 1 km 2 . The variables that contributed most to the model were mean annual temperature, rivers and human footprint. The highest risk of infection was found in coastal areas and in riverside areas of the main river basins, as well as in irrigated areas of the mainland and peninsular regions and in the whole territory of island areas, and the lowest risk was found in areas of higher altitude. A positive relationship was found between the risk of dirofilariosis and the location of infected dogs, with 86.65% located in very high and high risk areas. In 2080, the percentage of territory gained by Cx. pipiens will increase by 261.52%. This model provides a high predictive value, predicted presence, and risk of Dirofilaria spp. infection and can serve as a tool for the management and control of this disease. Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.) |
| فهرسة مساهمة: | Keywords: Culex pipiens; Dirofilaria spp.; Ecological niche modeling; Greece; Infection risk; Projection |
| تواريخ الأحداث: | Date Created: 20240328 Date Completed: 20240516 Latest Revision: 20240516 |
| رمز التحديث: | 20240517 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.vetpar.2024.110172 |
| PMID: | 38547829 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | MEDLINE |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 1873-2550 |
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| DOI: | 10.1016/j.vetpar.2024.110172 |