دورية أكاديمية

Bayesian modeling of quantiles of body mass index among under-five children in Ethiopia.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Bayesian modeling of quantiles of body mass index among under-five children in Ethiopia.
المؤلفون: Mekuriaw DM; Department of Statistics, College of Science, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia., Mitku AA; Department of Statistics, College of Science, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. aweke92@yahoo.com.; School of Mathematics, Statistics and Computer Science, College of Agriculture Engineering and Science, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa. aweke92@yahoo.com., Zeru MA; Department of Statistics, College of Science, Bahir Dar University, Bahir Dar, Ethiopia.
المصدر: BMC public health [BMC Public Health] 2024 Apr 24; Vol. 24 (1), pp. 1144. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Apr 24.
نوع المنشور: Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
اللغة: English
بيانات الدورية: Publisher: BioMed Central Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 100968562 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1471-2458 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 14712458 NLM ISO Abbreviation: BMC Public Health Subsets: MEDLINE
أسماء مطبوعة: Original Publication: London : BioMed Central, [2001-
مواضيع طبية MeSH: Bayes Theorem* , Body Mass Index* , Pediatric Obesity*/epidemiology, Humans ; Ethiopia/epidemiology ; Female ; Infant ; Child, Preschool ; Male ; Infant, Newborn ; Health Surveys ; Thinness/epidemiology ; Monte Carlo Method ; Overweight/epidemiology ; Nutritional Status ; Prevalence
مستخلص: Background: Body Mass Index (BMI) is a measurement of nutritional status, which is a vital pre-condition for good health. The prevalence of childhood malnutrition and the potential long-term health risks associated with obesity in Ethiopia have recently increased globally. The main objective of this study was to investigate the factors associated with the quantiles of under-five children's BMI in Ethiopia.
Methods: Data on 5,323 children, aged between 0-59 months from March 21, 2019, to June 28, 2019, were obtained from the Ethiopian Mini Demographic Health Survey (EMDHS, 2019), based on the standards set by the World Health Organization. The study used a Bayesian quantile regression model to investigate the association of factors with the quantiles of under-five children's body mass index. Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) with Gibbs sampling was used to estimate the country-specific marginal posterior distribution estimates of model parameters, using the Brq R package.
Results: Out of a total of 5323 children included in this study, 5.09% were underweight (less than 12.92 BMI), 10.05% were overweight (BMI: 17.06 - 18.27), and 5.02% were obese (greater than or equal to 18.27 BMI) children's. The result of the Bayesian quantile regression model, including marginal posterior credible intervals (CIs), showed that for the prediction of the 0.05 quantile of BMI, the current age of children [ β = -0.007, 95% CI :(-0.01, -0.004)], the region Afar [ β = - 0.32, 95% CI: (-0.57, -0.08)] and Somalia[ β = -0.72, 95% CI: (-0.96, -0.49)] were negatively associated with body mass index while maternal age [ β = 0.01, 95% CI: (0.005, 0.02)], mothers primary education [ β = 0.19, 95% CI: (0.08, 0.29)], secondary and above [ β = 0.44, 95% CI: (0.29, 0.58)], and family follows protestant [ β = 0.22, 95% CI: (0.07, 0.37)] were positively associated with body mass index. In the prediction of the 0.95 (or 0.85?) quantile of BMI, in the upper quantile, still breastfeeding [ β = -0.25, 95% CI: (-0.41, -0.10)], being female [ β = -0.13, 95% CI: (-0.23, -0.03)] were negatively related while wealth index [ β = 0.436, 95% CI: (0.25, 0.62)] was positively associated with under-five children's BMI.
Conclusions: In conclusion, the research findings indicate that the percentage of lower and higher BMI for under-five children in Ethiopia is high. Factors such as the current age of children, sex of children, maternal age, religion of the family, region and wealth index were found to have a significant impact on the BMI of under-five children both at lower and upper quantile levels. Thus, these findings highlight the need for administrators and policymakers to devise and implement strategies aimed at enhancing the normal or healthy weight status among under-five children in Ethiopia.
(© 2024. The Author(s).)
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فهرسة مساهمة: Keywords: BMI; Bayesian quantile regression; Ethiopia; Under-five children
تواريخ الأحداث: Date Created: 20240424 Date Completed: 20240425 Latest Revision: 20240424
رمز التحديث: 20240425
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-024-18602-x
PMID: 38658955
قاعدة البيانات: MEDLINE
الوصف
تدمد:1471-2458
DOI:10.1186/s12889-024-18602-x