Industrialization Mitigates Greenhouse Gas Intensity in China's Dairy Sector yet May Prove Insufficient to Offset Emissions from Future Production Expansion.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان:	Industrialization Mitigates Greenhouse Gas Intensity in China's Dairy Sector yet May Prove Insufficient to Offset Emissions from Future Production Expansion.
المؤلفون:	Han Y; Institute of Environment and Ecology, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, Shandong 250358, China., Peng J; Institute of Environment and Ecology, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, Shandong 250358, China., Du Y; Huaxin Design Group Co., Ltd., Wuxi 214100, China., Fan X; Institute of Environment and Ecology, Shandong Normal University, Jinan, Shandong 250358, China.
المصدر:	Environmental science & technology [Environ Sci Technol] 2024 Jul 02; Vol. 58 (26), pp. 11386-11399. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Jun 14.
نوع المنشور:	Journal Article
اللغة:	English
بيانات الدورية:	Publisher: American Chemical Society Country of Publication: United States NLM ID: 0213155 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1520-5851 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 0013936X NLM ISO Abbreviation: Environ Sci Technol Subsets: MEDLINE
أسماء مطبوعة:	Publication: Washington DC : American Chemical Society Original Publication: Easton, Pa. : American Chemical Society, c1967-
مواضيع طبية MeSH:	Greenhouse Gases* , Dairying*, China ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis ; Animals ; Industrial Development ; Methane ; Milk/chemistry ; Greenhouse Effect
مستخلص:	China's dairy farming is undergoing a critical transition from extensive to industrial systems. To achieve sustainable milk production within China's dual-carbon goals, understanding the multidimensional impacts of industrialization on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is imperative. This study comprehensively analyzed the implications of China's dairy industrialization on GHG emissions and explored future mitigation potential. Results indicated that industrial systems exhibited lower methane but higher carbon dioxide intensities, with net GHG intensity lower than other systems. During 2002-2020, China's milk production increased by 165%, while GHG emissions increased by 105% to 50.27 Tg CO 2 eq, accompanying an industrialization rate increased from 16% to 75%. The industrialization progress played a mitigating effect on GHG primarily through intensification within individual production systems before 2008 and transformation between systems post-2008. However, the industrialization's effect was relatively modest compared to other socio-economic factors. By 2030, 11.8 Tg CO 2 eq will be triggered by predicted milk production growth, but only 0.6 Tg can be offset by system transformation. Integrating measures to improve feed, herd, and manure management on industrial farms could decouple GHG emissions from milk production and achieve a carbon peak before 2030. We suggest transforming to improved industrial systems as a necessary step toward sustainable livestock production.
فهرسة مساهمة:	Keywords: decomposition analysis; enteric methane (CH4) emission; industrial system; livestock system transition; milk production chain
المشرفين على المادة:	0 (Greenhouse Gases) 142M471B3J (Carbon Dioxide) OP0UW79H66 (Methane)
تواريخ الأحداث:	Date Created: 20240614 Date Completed: 20240702 Latest Revision: 20240702
رمز التحديث:	20240702
DOI:	10.1021/acs.est.4c03768
PMID:	38872476
قاعدة البيانات:	MEDLINE

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تدمد:	1520-5851
DOI:	10.1021/acs.est.4c03768