دورية أكاديمية
Global burden of myocarditis in youth and middle age (1990-2019): A systematic analysis of the disease burden and thirty-year forecast.
| العنوان: | Global burden of myocarditis in youth and middle age (1990-2019): A systematic analysis of the disease burden and thirty-year forecast. |
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| المؤلفون: | Zhang Y; Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, 030032, PR China., Feng L; Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, 030032, PR China., Zhu Z; Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Taiyuan, Shanxi, 030032, PR China., He Y; Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Taiyuan, Shanxi, 030032, PR China., Li X; Shanxi Bethune Hospital, Shanxi Academy of Medical Sciences, Tongji Shanxi Hospital, Third Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, Shanxi, 030032, PR China. Electronic address: xuewenli1010@126.com. |
| المصدر: | Current problems in cardiology [Curr Probl Cardiol] 2024 Sep; Vol. 49 (9), pp. 102735. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Jun 29. |
| نوع المنشور: | Journal Article; Review |
| اللغة: | English |
| بيانات الدورية: | Publisher: Elsevier Country of Publication: Netherlands NLM ID: 7701802 Publication Model: Print-Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 1535-6280 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 01462806 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Curr Probl Cardiol Subsets: MEDLINE |
| أسماء مطبوعة: | Publication: [Amsterdam] : Elsevier Original Publication: Chicago, Year Book Medical Publishers. |
| مواضيع طبية MeSH: | Myocarditis*/epidemiology , Global Burden of Disease*/trends, Humans ; Adolescent ; Child ; Female ; Male ; Young Adult ; Adult ; Incidence ; Middle Aged ; Forecasting ; Prevalence ; Global Health ; Age Distribution ; Sex Distribution |
| مستخلص: | Background: Myocarditis is increasingly recognized as a critical health issue, particularly among youth and middle-aged populations. This study aims to analyze the global burden and trends of myocarditis in these age groups to emphasize the need for region-specific prevention and treatment strategies. Methods: Using data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study (1990-2019), we evaluated the age-standardized rates (ASR) of myocarditis in individuals aged 10 to 54 years. We calculated average annual percentage changes (AAPC) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). Additionally, we examined the correlation between myocarditis incidence and the Human Development Index (HDI) and Socio-demographic Index (SDI). Age and sex trends in myocarditis were analyzed, and Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) models were used to forecast prevalence trends up to 2050. Results: The High-income Asia Pacific region had the highest ASR of myocarditis, while North Africa and the Middle East had the lowest. North Africa and the Middle East also experienced the fastest average annual growth in ASR, whereas High-income North America saw the most significant decline. Correlational analysis showed that countries with a high SDI exhibited higher myocarditis ASR. The burden of myocarditis was greater among males than females, with this disparity increasing with age. Projections indicate a stable trend in the incidence of myocarditis among the youth and middle-aged population up to 2050, although the total number of cases is expected to rise. Conclusion: Our study reveals a significant upward trend in myocarditis among youth and middle-aged populations, highlighting the urgency for early monitoring and preventative strategies. Competing Interests: Declaration of competing interest The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper. (Copyright © 2024 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.) |
| فهرسة مساهمة: | Keywords: Age-standardized rates; Average annual percentage change; Estimated annual percentage change; Global Burden of Disease; Myocarditis |
| تواريخ الأحداث: | Date Created: 20240701 Date Completed: 20240729 Latest Revision: 20240729 |
| رمز التحديث: | 20240730 |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2024.102735 |
| PMID: | 38950720 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | MEDLINE |
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Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 1535-6280 |
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| DOI: | 10.1016/j.cpcardiol.2024.102735 |