دورية أكاديمية

Deep ocean warming-induced El Niño changes.

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Deep ocean warming-induced El Niño changes.
المؤلفون: Kim GI; School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea., Oh JH; School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea., Shin NY; School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea., An SI; Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Yonsei University, Seoul, South Korea., Yeh SW; Department of Marine Sciences and Convergent Technology, Hanyang University, Ansan, South Korea., Shin J; Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, Massachusetts, United States of America., Kug JS; School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea. jskug1@gmail.com.; Interdisciplinary Program in Artificial Intelligence, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea. jskug1@gmail.com.
المصدر: Nature communications [Nat Commun] 2024 Jul 23; Vol. 15 (1), pp. 6225. Date of Electronic Publication: 2024 Jul 23.
نوع المنشور: Journal Article
اللغة: English
بيانات الدورية: Publisher: Nature Pub. Group Country of Publication: England NLM ID: 101528555 Publication Model: Electronic Cited Medium: Internet ISSN: 2041-1723 (Electronic) Linking ISSN: 20411723 NLM ISO Abbreviation: Nat Commun Subsets: PubMed not MEDLINE; MEDLINE
أسماء مطبوعة: Original Publication: [London] : Nature Pub. Group
مستخلص: The deep ocean, a vast thermal reservoir, absorbs excess heat under greenhouse warming, which ultimately regulates the Earth's surface climate. Even if CO 2 emissions are successfully reduced, the stored heat will gradually be released, resulting in a particular pattern of ocean warming. Here, we show that deep ocean warming will lead to El Niño-like ocean warming and resultant increased precipitation in the tropical eastern Pacific with southward shift of the intertropical convergence zone. Consequently, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation shifts eastward, intensifying Eastern Pacific El Niño events. In particular, the deep ocean warming could increase convective extreme El Niño events by 40 to 80% relative to the current climate. Our findings suggest that anthropogenic greenhouse warming will have a prolonged impact on El Niño variability through delayed deep ocean warming, even if CO 2 stabilization is achieved.
(© 2024. The Author(s).)
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معلومات مُعتمدة: NRF-2022R1A3B1077622 National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF); NRF-2018R1A5A1024958 National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF)
تواريخ الأحداث: Date Created: 20240723 Latest Revision: 20240726
رمز التحديث: 20240726
مُعرف محوري في PubMed: PMC11266720
DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-50663-9
PMID: 39043671
قاعدة البيانات: MEDLINE
الوصف
تدمد:2041-1723
DOI:10.1038/s41467-024-50663-9