دورية
Rabies epidemic model with uncertainty in parameters: crisp and fuzzy approaches
| العنوان: | Rabies epidemic model with uncertainty in parameters: crisp and fuzzy approaches |
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| المؤلفون: | Ndii, M Z, Amarti, Z, Wiraningsih, E D, Supriatna, A K |
| المصدر: | IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering; March 2018, Vol. 332 Issue: 1 p012031-012031, 1p |
| مستخلص: | A deterministic mathematical model is formulated to investigate the transmission dynamics of rabies. In particular, we investigate the effects of vaccination, carrying capacity and the transmission rate on the rabies epidemics and allow for uncertainty in the parameters. We perform crisp and fuzzy approaches. We find that, in the case of crisp parameters, rabies epidemics may be interrupted when the carrying capacity and the transmission rate are not high. Our findings suggest that limiting the growth of dog population and reducing the potential contact between susceptible and infectious dogs may aid in interrupting rabies epidemics. We extend the work by considering a fuzzy carrying capacity and allow for low, medium, and high level of carrying capacity. The result confirms the results obtained by using crisp carrying capacity, that is, when the carrying capacity is not too high, the vaccination could confine the disease effectively. |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Supplemental Index |
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