Background: Extensive malaria control measures have been implemented on Bioko Island, Equatorial Guinea over the past 16 years, reducing parasite prevalence and malaria-related morbidity and mortality but without achieving elimination. Malaria vaccines offer hope for reducing the burden to zero. Three Phase 1/2 studies have been conducted successfully on Bioko Island to evaluate the safety and efficacy of whole Plasmodium falciparum (Pf) sporozoite (SPZ) malaria vaccines. A large, pivotal trial of the safety and efficacy of the radiation-attenuated Sanaria® PfSPZ Vaccine against Pf is planned for 2022. This study assessed the incidence of malaria at the Phase 3 study site and characterized the influence of socio-demographic factors on the burden of malaria to guide trial design. Methods: A cohort of 240 randomly selected individuals aged 6 months to 45 years from North Bioko Province, Bioko Island, was followed for 24 weeks after clearance of parasitemia. Assessment of clinical presentation consistent with malaria and thick blood smears were performed every two weeks. Incidence of first and multiple malaria infections per person-time of follow-up was estimated, compared between age groups, and examined for associated socio-demographic risk factors. Results: 58 malaria infection episodes (malaria) were observed during the follow up period, including 47 first and 11 repeat infections. The incidence of malaria was 0.25 [95% CI (0.19, 0.32)] and of first malaria was 0.23 [95% CI (0.17, 0.30)] per person per 24 weeks (0.22 in 6-59-month-olds, 0.26 in 5-17-year-olds, 0.20 in 18-45-year-olds). Incidence of first malaria with symptoms was 0.13 [95% CI (0.09, 0.19)] per person per 24 weeks (0.16 in 6-59-month-olds, 0.10 in 5-17-year-olds, 0.11 in 18-45-year-olds). Multivariate assessment showed that study area, gender, malaria positivity at screening, and household socioeconomic status independently predicted the observed incidence of malaria. Conclusion: Despite intensive malaria control efforts on Bioko Island, local transmission remains and is spread fairly evenly throughout age groups. These incidence rates are sufficient to support the planned future trial of PfSPZ Vaccine. The long-term goal is to conduct mass vaccination programs to halt transmission and eliminate Pf malaria.
