Sixty Years of Widespread Warming in the Southern Middle and High Latitudes (1957–2016)
| العنوان: | Sixty Years of Widespread Warming in the Southern Middle and High Latitudes (1957–2016) |
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| المؤلفون: | Jorge F. Carrasco, Megan E. Jones, Eva Plavcová, Shih-Yu Wang, Xun Zou, Julien P. Nicolas, David H. Bromwich |
| المصدر: | Journal of Climate. 32:6875-6898 |
| بيانات النشر: | American Meteorological Society, 2019. |
| سنة النشر: | 2019 |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Atmospheric Science, geography, geography.geographical_feature_category, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, Climate change, 010502 geochemistry & geophysics, 01 natural sciences, Latitude, Atmosphere, Peninsula, Climatology, Environmental science, Antarctic oscillation, Southern Hemisphere, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
| الوصف: | Temperature trends across Antarctica over the last few decades reveal strong and statistically significant warming in West Antarctica and the Antarctic Peninsula (AP) contrasting with no significant change overall in East Antarctica. However, recent studies have documented cooling in the AP since the late 1990s. This study aims to place temperature changes in the AP and West Antarctica into a larger spatial and temporal perspective by analyzing monthly station-based surface temperature observations since 1957 across the extratropical Southern Hemisphere, along with sea surface temperature (SST) data and mean sea level pressure reanalysis data. The results confirm statistically significant cooling in station observations and SST trends throughout the AP region since 1999. However, the full 60-yr period shows statistically significant, widespread warming across most of the Southern Hemisphere middle and high latitudes. Positive SST trends broadly reflect these warming trends, especially in the midlatitudes. After confirming the importance of the southern annular mode (SAM) on southern high-latitude climate variability, the influence is removed from the station temperature records, revealing statistically significant background warming across all of the extratropical Southern Hemisphere. Antarctic temperature trends in a suite of climate models from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) are then investigated. Consistent with previous work the CMIP5 models warm Antarctica at the background temperature rate that is 2 times faster than that observed. However, removing the SAM influence from both CMIP5 and observed temperatures results in Antarctic trends that differ only modestly, perhaps due to natural multidecadal variability remaining in the observations. |
| تدمد: | 1520-0442 0894-8755 |
| URL الوصول: | https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::9110f52cef462e6a4c0a195cf6bad52e https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-18-0565.1 |
| حقوق: | CLOSED |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsair.doi...........9110f52cef462e6a4c0a195cf6bad52e |
| قاعدة البيانات: | OpenAIRE |
| تدمد: | 15200442 08948755 |
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