Do people accurately report droughts? Comparison of instrument-measured and national survey data in Kenya
العنوان: | Do people accurately report droughts? Comparison of instrument-measured and national survey data in Kenya |
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المؤلفون: | Frank D. W. Witmer, Andrew M. Linke, John O'Loughlin |
المصدر: | Climatic Change. 162:1143-1160 |
بيانات النشر: | Springer Science and Business Media LLC, 2020. |
سنة النشر: | 2020 |
مصطلحات موضوعية: | Atmospheric Science, Global and Planetary Change, 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, business.industry, 0208 environmental biotechnology, Global warming, Environmental resource management, Climate change, Developing country, 02 engineering and technology, Vegetation, Livelihood, 01 natural sciences, 020801 environmental engineering, Geography, Work (electrical), Survey data collection, Rainfed agriculture, business, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences |
الوصف: | We evaluate the agreement between drought perceptions of two nationally representative samples of Kenyans (2014 and 2018) and instrument-measured rainfall and vegetation (IMRV) change. Our work adds to a growing body of research designed to evaluate people’s awareness and understanding of climate change and global warming. Relatively few existing studies in the developing world validate weather perceptions against meteorological observations, despite heavy reliance among these populations on rainfed agriculture and the importance of effective adaptation strategies for household livelihoods. We find a strong positive relationship between IMRV data and reporting among the 175 survey enumeration areas for 2800 respondents. Ours is the first study to establish such a definitive result using a research design that minimizes the effects of anomalous weather in any single year. Researchers who rely upon reported historical weather conditions can thus be more assured that their fieldwork informants recollect weather accurately. This awareness of recent changes in weather should facilitate the implementation of policies designed to mitigate long-term climate change impacts in sub-Saharan Africa. |
تدمد: | 1573-1480 0165-0009 |
URL الوصول: | https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_________::c00e521063173e48fd9c631de2116501 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02724-3 |
حقوق: | CLOSED |
رقم الأكسشن: | edsair.doi...........c00e521063173e48fd9c631de2116501 |
قاعدة البيانات: | OpenAIRE |
تدمد: | 15731480 01650009 |
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