Background CXC chemokine ligand-12 (CXCL12) is associated with brain inflammation. We attempted to discern whether serum CXCL12 is a promising predictor for in-hospital major adverse events (IMAEs) after traumatic brain injury (TBI), including death, acute lung injury, acute traumatic coagulopathy, progressive hemorrhagic injury and posttraumatic cerebral infarction. Methods In this prospective, observational study, serum CXCL12 levels were quantified among 117 severe TBI patients. We investigated the relation of CXCL12 levels to IMAEs using a multivariate analysis. Results Median value of serum CXCL12 concentrations was substantially higher in patients with IMAEs than in other remainders (21.1 vs. 11.6 ng/ml). With an increasing number of IMAEs, serum CXCL12 concentrations were significantly increased (r = 0.702). Serum CXCL12 independently predicted IMAEs (odds ratio, 1.253; 95% CI, 1.100–1.428). Serum CXCL12 concentrations discriminated risk of IMAEs with area under receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.759 (95% CI, 0.672–0.834), its concentrations >16.0 ng/ml distinguished IMAEs with 83.9% sensitivity and 67.2% specificity and its combination with Glasgow coma scale scores produced the best predictive ability compared with each one alone (p = 0.0116 or 0.0004). Conclusion Serum CXCL12 concentrations are independently associated with IMAEs following TBI, substantializing serum CXCL12 as a useful prognostic biomarker for head trauma patients.
