Event‐Based Storylines to Address Climate Risk
| العنوان: | Event‐Based Storylines to Address Climate Risk |
|---|---|
| المؤلفون: | Olivia Martius, Jana Sillmann, Jakob Zscheischler, Bart van den Hurk, Wilco Hazeleger, Theodore G. Shepherd, Julia Slingo |
| المصدر: | Sillmann, Jana; Shepherd, Theodore G.; van den Hurk, Bart; Hazeleger, Wilco; Martius, Olivia; Slingo, Julia; Zscheischler, Jakob (2021). Event-Based Storylines to Address Climate Risk. Earth's future, 9(2) Wiley 10.1029/2020ef001783 <http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2020ef001783> Earth's Future Earth's Future, Vol 9, Iss 2, Pp n/a-n/a (2021) |
| بيانات النشر: | Wiley, 2021. |
| سنة النشر: | 2021 |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | 010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences, Computer science, 530 Physics, 0207 environmental engineering, Climate change, 02 engineering and technology, 01 natural sciences, Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous), GE1-350, 910 Geography & travel, 020701 environmental engineering, QH540-549.5, Risk management, 550 Earth sciences & geology, risk, 0105 earth and related environmental sciences, General Environmental Science, Event (probability theory), Ecology, Emergency management, low likelihood, business.industry, Climate risk, Perspective (graphical), Probabilistic logic, Data science, high‐impact events, Environmental sciences, storylines, climate change, 13. Climate action, decision‐making, business, Attribution |
| الوصف: | The climate science community is challenged to adopt an actionable risk perspective, which is difficult to align with the traditional focus on model‐based probabilistic climate change projections. Event‐based storylines can provide a way out of this conundrum by putting emphasis on plausibility rather than probability. This links directly to common practices in disaster risk management using “stress‐testing” for emergency preparedness based on events that are conditional on specific and plausible assumptions. Event‐based storylines allow for conditional explanations, without full attribution of every causal factor, which is crucial when some aspects of the latter are complex and highly uncertain. |
| وصف الملف: | application/pdf |
| اللغة: | English |
| URL الوصول: | https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::4b3eb76090c40f750aee4ad61bd36038 https://boris.unibe.ch/158999/2/2020EF001783.pdf |
| حقوق: | OPEN |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsair.doi.dedup.....4b3eb76090c40f750aee4ad61bd36038 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | OpenAIRE |
| الوصف غير متاح. |