Many orally administered drugs with negative food effects (i.e., lower exposure under fed conditions) are often primarily or partially eliminated by biliary excretion. The aim of this study is to assess the potential correlation between a negative food effect and biliary excretion. Correlation analysis was conducted using a training dataset containing 27 drugs which met the following criteria: (1) immediate-release formulations, (2) shows a negative food effect, (3) > 10% biliary clearance, and (4) does not undergo extensive metabolism. A correlation between fed-state biliary clearance (CLb,fed) and fasted-state biliary clearance (CLb,fast) (y = 1.81*x, R2 = 0.68) was observed. The 1.8-fold increase in biliary clearance was then used as a correction factor to improve physiologically based pharmacokinetic (PBPK) prediction of food effects for 12 test drugs. The mean deviations of predicted fed/fasting AUC ratio and Cmax ratio from clinically observed values were reduced from 32.4 to 17.2% and from 63.3 to 54.3%, respectively. In contrast to the positive food effects on most biopharmaceutics classification system (BCS) class II drugs for which food-stimulated bile flow increases drug solubility and absorption, our results suggest that the elimination of biliary excreted drugs is increased by food-stimulated bile flow, resulting in negative food effects.
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