Forecasting Hepatitis C liver disease burden on real-life data. Does the hidden iceberg matter to reach the elimination goals?
| العنوان: | Forecasting Hepatitis C liver disease burden on real-life data. Does the hidden iceberg matter to reach the elimination goals? |
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| المؤلفون: | Kondili, La, Robbins, S, Blach, S, Gamkrelidze, I, Zignego, Al, Brunetto, Mr, Raimondo, G, Taliani, G, Iannone, A, Russo, Fp, Santantonio, Ta, Zuin, M, Chessa, L, Blanc, P, Puoti, M, Vinci, M, Erne, Em, Strazzabosco, M, Massari, M, Lampertico, P, Rumi, Mg, Federico, A, Orlandini, A, Ciancio, A, Borgia, G, Andreone, P, Caporaso, N, Persico, M, Ieluzzi, D, Madonia, S, Gori, A, Gasbarrini, A, Coppola, C, Brancaccio, G, Andriulli, A, Quaranta, Mg, Montilla, S, Razavi, H, Melazzini, M, Vella, S, Craxì, A, PITER Collaborating, Group. |
| المساهمون: | Kondili LA, Robbins S, Blach S, Gamkrelidze I, Zignego AL, Brunetto MR, Raimondo G, Taliani G, Iannone A, Russo FP, Santantonio TA, Zuin M, Chessa L, Blanc P, Puoti M, Vinci M, Erne EM, Strazzabosco M, Massari M, Lampertico P, Rumi MG, Federico A, Orlandini A, Ciancio A, Borgia G, Andreone P, Caporaso N, Persico M, Ieluzzi D, Madonia S, Gori A, Gasbarrini A, Coppola C, Brancaccio G, Andriulli A, Quaranta MG, Montilla S, Razavi H, Melazzini M, Vella S, Craxì Antonio, Kondili, Loreta A., Robbins, Sarah, Blach, Sarah, Gamkrelidze, Ivane, Zignego, Anna L., Brunetto, Maurizia R., Raimondo, Giovanni, Taliani, Gloria, Iannone, Andrea, Russo, Francesco P., Santantonio, Teresa A., Zuin, Massimo, Chessa, Luchino, Blanc, Pierluigi, Puoti, Massimo, Vinci, Maria, Erne, Elke M., Strazzabosco, Mario, Massari, Marco, Lampertico, Pietro, Rumi, Maria G., Federico, Alessandro, Orlandini, Alessandra, Ciancio, Alessia, Borgia, Guglielmo, Andreone, Pietro, Caporaso, Nicola, Persico, Marcello, Ieluzzi, Donatella, Madonia, Salvatore, Gori, Andrea, Gasbarrini, Antonio, Coppola, Carmine, Brancaccio, Giuseppina, Andriulli, Angelo, Quaranta, Maria G., Montilla, Simona, Razavi, Homie, Melazzini, Mario, Vella, Stefano, Craxì, Antonio, Kondili, L. A., Robbins, S., Blach, S., Gamkrelidze, I., Zignego, A. L., Brunetto, M. R., Raimondo, G., Taliani, G., Iannone, A., Russo, F. P., Santantonio, T. A., Zuin, M., Chessa, L., Blanc, P., Puoti, M., Vinci, M., Erne, E. M., Strazzabosco, M., Massari, M., Lampertico, P., Rumi, M. G., Federico, A., Orlandini, A., Ciancio, A., Borgia, G., Andreone, P., Caporaso, N., Persico, M., Ieluzzi, D., Madonia, S., Gori, A., Gasbarrini, A., Coppola, C., Brancaccio, G., Andriulli, A., Quaranta, M. G., Montilla, S., Razavi, H., Melazzini, M., Vella, S., Craxi, A., Kondili, L, Robbins, S, Blach, S, Gamkrelidze, I, Zignego, A, Brunetto, M, Raimondo, G, Taliani, G, Iannone, A, Russo, F, Santantonio, T, Zuin, M, Chessa, L, Blanc, P, Puoti, M, Vinci, M, Erne, E, Strazzabosco, M, Massari, M, Lampertico, P, Rumi, M, Federico, A, Orlandini, A, Ciancio, A, Borgia, G, Andreone, P, Caporaso, N, Persico, M, Ieluzzi, D, Madonia, S, Gori, A, Gasbarrini, A, Coppola, C, Brancaccio, G, Andriulli, A, Quaranta, M, Montilla, S, Razavi, H, Melazzini, M, Vella, S, Craxi, A |
| المصدر: | Liver International |
| سنة النشر: | 2018 |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | HCV, WHO, chronic infection, linkage to care, Liver Cirrhosis, medicine.medical_specialty, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular, Sustained Virologic Response, Viral Hepatitis, Settore MED/12 - GASTROENTEROLOGIA, World Health Organization, Antiviral Agents, NO, 03 medical and health sciences, Liver disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Pharmacotherapy, Cost of Illness, Cause of Death, Health care, medicine, Humans, 030212 general & internal medicine, Viremia, chronic infection, HCV, linkage to care, WHO, Disease Eradication, Mortality, Intensive care medicine, Cause of death, Hepatology, business.industry, Public health, Carcinoma, Liver Neoplasms, Hepatocellular, Hepatitis C, medicine.disease, Markov Chains, Italy, 030211 gastroenterology & hepatology, business, Viral hepatitis |
| الوصف: | Background & Aims Advances in direct‐acting antiviral treatment of HCV have reinvigorated public health initiatives aimed at identifying affected individuals. We evaluated the possible impact of only diagnosed and linked‐to‐care individuals on overall HCV burden estimates and identified a possible strategy to achieve the WHO targets by 2030. Methods Using a modelling approach grounded in Italian real‐life data of diagnosed and treated patients, different linkage‐to‐care scenarios were built to evaluate potential strategies in achieving the HCV elimination goals. Results Under the 40% linked‐to‐care scenario, viraemic burden would decline (60%); however, eligible patients to treat will be depleted by 2025. Increased case finding through a targeted screening strategy in 1948‐1978 birth cohorts could supplement the pool of diagnosed patients by finding 75% of F0‐F3 cases. Under the 60% linked‐to‐care scenario, viraemic infections would decline by 70% by 2030 but the patients eligible for treatment will run out by 2028. If treatment is to be maintained, a screening strategy focusing on 1958‐1978 birth cohorts could capture 55% of F0‐F3 individuals. Under the 80% linked‐to‐care scenario, screening limited in 1968‐1978 birth cohorts could sustain treatment at levels required to achieve the HCV elimination goals. Conclusion In Italy, which is an HCV endemic country, the eligible pool of patients to treat will run out between 2025 and 2028. To maintain the treatment rate and achieve the HCV elimination goals, increased case finding in targeted, high prevalence groups is required. |
| وصف الملف: | ELETTRONICO |
| اللغة: | English |
| URL الوصول: | https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::a17a8d150dce9ce1141ce554b2334a78 http://hdl.handle.net/10447/345381 |
| حقوق: | OPEN |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsair.doi.dedup.....a17a8d150dce9ce1141ce554b2334a78 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | OpenAIRE |
| الوصف غير متاح. |