A model predicting short-term mortality in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis and concomitant infection

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: A model predicting short-term mortality in patients with advanced liver cirrhosis and concomitant infection
المؤلفون: Roongruedee Chaiteerakij, Tao Han, Jeong Won Jang, Ying Li, Jung Hyun Kwon, Cai Yun Nie, Fu Shuang Ha, Xi Wei Ding, Qian Zhang, Lewis R. Roberts, Hae Lim Lee, Charat Thongprayoon, Zhen Yang, Stephen S. Cha, Nasra H. Giama
المصدر: Medicine
سنة النشر: 2018
مصطلحات موضوعية: 0301 basic medicine, Adult, Liver Cirrhosis, Male, medicine.medical_specialty, Cirrhosis, Observational Study, Kaplan-Meier Estimate, Logistic regression, Infections, Severity of Illness Index, Decision Support Techniques, End Stage Liver Disease, 03 medical and health sciences, Liver disease, 0302 clinical medicine, Predictive Value of Tests, Internal medicine, medicine, Humans, Aged, Retrospective Studies, Receiver operating characteristic, business.industry, cirrhosis, Reproducibility of Results, MELD score, Retrospective cohort study, General Medicine, Odds ratio, Middle Aged, medicine.disease, Prognosis, infection, 3. Good health, 030104 developmental biology, Logistic Models, Predictive value of tests, Cohort, 3-month mortality, 030211 gastroenterology & hepatology, Female, business, Research Article
الوصف: Infection is a common cause of death in patients with advanced cirrhosis. We aimed to develop a predictive model in Child–Turcotte–Pugh (CTP) class C cirrhotics hospitalized with infection for optimizing treatment and improving outcomes. Clinical information was retrospectively abstracted from 244 patients at Tianjin Third Central Hospital, China (cohort 1). Factors associated with mortality were determined using logistic regression. The model for predicting 90-day mortality was then constructed by decision tree analysis. The model was further validated in 91 patients at Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN (cohort 2) and 82 patients at Seoul St. Mary's Hospital, Korea (cohort 3). The predictive performance of the model was compared with that of the CTP, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, Chronic Liver Failure–Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and the North American consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) models. The 3-month mortality was 58%, 58%, and 54% in cohort 1, 2, and 3, respectively. In cohort 1, respiratory failure, renal failure, international normalized ratio, total bilirubin, and neutrophil percentage were determinants of 3-month mortality, with odds ratios of 16.6, 3.3, 2.0, 1.1, and 1.03, respectively (P
تدمد: 1536-5964
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::bdace1d4621254c314647a04d84267c0
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30313084
حقوق: OPEN
رقم الأكسشن: edsair.doi.dedup.....bdace1d4621254c314647a04d84267c0
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE