Modelling the transmission dynamics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Jiangsu Province, China
| العنوان: | Modelling the transmission dynamics of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome in Jiangsu Province, China |
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| المؤلفون: | Jiefeng Huang, Jianli Hu, Zhi-Feng Li, Tianmu Chen, Peihua Li, Xiaochen Wang, Yao Wang, Weikang Liu, Zeyu Zhao, Li Luo, Meng Yang, Tianlong Yang, Zhuoyang Li, Nan Zhang, Chan Liu, Shu-Yi Liang, Shengnan Lin, Xingchun Liu, Yuanzhao Zhu, Xiao-Qing Cheng, Jia Rui, Luxia Qiu, Jingwen Xu, Bin Deng |
| المصدر: | Parasites & Vectors Parasites & Vectors, Vol 14, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2021) |
| بيانات النشر: | BioMed Central, 2021. |
| سنة النشر: | 2021 |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | 0301 basic medicine, medicine.medical_specialty, China, Severe Fever with Thrombocytopenia Syndrome, 030106 microbiology, 030231 tropical medicine, Dynamic, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216, Disease, Biology, Environment, law.invention, 03 medical and health sciences, 0302 clinical medicine, Mathematical model, Ticks, law, medicine, Transmission, Animals, Humans, Intensive care medicine, Research, Incidence, Middle Aged, Models, Theoretical, medicine.disease, Disease control, Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome, Infectious Diseases, Transmission (mechanics), Emerging infectious disease, Bunyavirus, Parasitology, Disease prevention, Arachnid Vectors |
| الوصف: | Background Severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome (SFTS) is an emerging infectious disease that is regionally distributed in Asia, with high fatality. Constructing the transmission model of SFTS could help provide clues for disease control and fill the gap in research on SFTS models. Methods We built an SFTS transmission dynamics model based on the susceptible–exposed–infectious–asymptomatic–recovered (SEIAR) model and the epidemiological characteristics of SFTS in Jiangsu Province. This model was used to evaluate the effect by cutting off different transmission routes and taking different interventions into account, to offer clues for disease prevention and control. Results The transmission model fits the reported data well with a minimum R2 value of 0.29 and a maximum value of 0.80, P Conclusions The model we have built can be used to simulate the transmission of SFTS to help inform disease control. It is noteworthy that cutting off the environment-to-humans transmission route in the model had the greatest effect on SFTS prevention and control. Graphical Abstract |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1756-3305 |
| URL الوصول: | https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=doi_dedup___::d66576068d428beece4e03f45518079d http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC8100741 |
| حقوق: | OPEN |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsair.doi.dedup.....d66576068d428beece4e03f45518079d |
| قاعدة البيانات: | OpenAIRE |
Find this article in full text from Springer Verlag. | تدمد: | 17563305 |
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