A Novel Ensemble Model Based on an Advanced Optimization Algorithm for Wind Speed Forecasting

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: A Novel Ensemble Model Based on an Advanced Optimization Algorithm for Wind Speed Forecasting
المؤلفون: Li, Yukun Wang, Aiying Zhao, Xiaoxue Wei, Ranran
المصدر: Energies; Volume 16; Issue 14; Pages: 5281
بيانات النشر: Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute, 2023.
سنة النشر: 2023
مصطلحات موضوعية: wind speed forecasting, selection of parameters, egret population optimization algorithm, ensemble model
الوصف: Concerning the vision of achieving carbon neutral and peak carbon goals, wind energy is extremely important as a renewable and clean energy source. However, existing research ignores the implicit features of the data preprocessing technique and the role of the internal mechanism of the optimization algorithm, making it difficult to achieve high-accuracy prediction. To fill this gap, this study proposes a wind speed forecasting model that combines data denoising techniques, optimization algorithms, and machine learning algorithms. The model discusses the important parameters in the data decomposition technique, determines the best parameter values by comparing the model’s performance, and then decomposes and reconstructs the wind speed time series. In addition, a novel optimization algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of the machine learning algorithm using a waiting strategy and an aggressive strategy to improve the effectiveness of the model. Several control experiments were designed and implemented using 10-min wind speed data from three sites in Penglai, Shandong Province. Based on the numerical comparison results and the discussion of the proposed model, it is concluded that the developed model can obtain high accuracy and reliability of wind speed prediction in the short term relative to other comparative models and can have further applications in wind power plants.
وصف الملف: application/pdf
اللغة: English
تدمد: 1996-1073
DOI: 10.3390/en16145281
URL الوصول: https://explore.openaire.eu/search/publication?articleId=multidiscipl::bb78c219920ad779f2725c70fea82466
حقوق: OPEN
رقم الأكسشن: edsair.multidiscipl..bb78c219920ad779f2725c70fea82466
قاعدة البيانات: OpenAIRE
الوصف
تدمد:19961073
DOI:10.3390/en16145281