تقرير
Nota T\'ecnica dos Modelos Implementados pelo Coletivo Covid19br para Proje\c{c}\~oes de Cen\'arios Futuros da Pandemia COVID-19 no Brasil
| العنوان: | Nota T\'ecnica dos Modelos Implementados pelo Coletivo Covid19br para Proje\c{c}\~oes de Cen\'arios Futuros da Pandemia COVID-19 no Brasil |
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| المؤلفون: | Severo, Daniel, Cruz, Giuliano Netto Flores, de Araújo, Alcides Carlos, Santos, André Marques dos, Martins, André Luiz Nunes, da Silva, Carolina Ferreira, Schmitz, Cristiane, Sousa, Felipe Brum de Brito, de Arruda, Gabriel Domingos, Gondim, Gabriel Mendes Cabral, Ferraresso, Giovanna, Vissoci, Joao Ricardo, Figueredo, Marcel Figueredo S., Moreira, Rafael Prudencio, da Costa, Ralf Lima, Venturieri, Vito Ribeiro, Justo, Diógenes Adriano Rizzoto |
| سنة النشر: | 2020 |
| المجموعة: | Physics (Other) Quantitative Biology |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Physics - Physics and Society, Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, 92D30 (Primary) 93A30, 60K25 (Secondary) |
| الوصف: | This technical note aims to provide a brief introduction to the projection models used by the group to project future scenarios for states and municipalities in real-time, according to the disease's behavior in previous days. However, the parameters can be modified by the user to design customized scenarios. The proposed model begins with the calculation of the basic reproduction number for the state or municipality based on the incidence of cases in the last 12 days. Once this is done, the epidemiological curve is projected using the SEIR compartmentalized epidemic model, in possession of this curve, part of the newly projected infected enter a simulation model for health systems in queuing theory, aiming to project future occupations and collapses. Comment: 12 p\'aginas, in Portuguese, 4 figuras, acesso p\'ublico aos modelos: http://covid19br.site/ |
| نوع الوثيقة: | Working Paper |
| اللغة: | Portuguese |
| URL الوصول: | http://arxiv.org/abs/2004.13488 |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsarx.2004.13488 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | arXiv |
| الوصف غير متاح. |