تقرير
Implications of Delay in Compulsory Mask Wearing -- A What-if Analysis
| العنوان: | Implications of Delay in Compulsory Mask Wearing -- A What-if Analysis |
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| المؤلفون: | Kaiheng, Brandon Tay, Roby, Carvalho Andrea, Wenjiang, Jodi Wu, Tan, Da Yang |
| سنة النشر: | 2020 |
| المجموعة: | Physics (Other) |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Physics - Physics and Society |
| الوصف: | We investigate the impact of the delay in compulsory mask wearing on the spread of COVID-19 in the community, set in the Singapore context. By using modified SEIR-based compartmental models, we focus on macroscopic population-level analysis of the relationships between the delay in compulsory mask wearing and the maximum infection, through a series of scenario-based analysis. Our analysis suggests that collective masking can meaningfully reduce the transmission of COVID-19 in the community, but only if implemented within a critical time window of approximately before 80 - 100 days delay after the first infection is detected, coupled with strict enforcement to ensure compliance throughout the duration. We also identify what is called a point of no return, a delay threshold of about 100 days that results in masking enforcement having little significant impact on the Maximum Infected Values. Comment: 8 pages, 5 figures |
| نوع الوثيقة: | Working Paper |
| URL الوصول: | http://arxiv.org/abs/2011.11920 |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsarx.2011.11920 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | arXiv |
| الوصف غير متاح. |