A Comparative Study of Compartmental Models for COVID-19 Transmission in Ontario, Canada

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: A Comparative Study of Compartmental Models for COVID-19 Transmission in Ontario, Canada
المؤلفون: Zhao, Yuxuan, Wong, Samuel W. K.
سنة النشر: 2022
المجموعة: Quantitative Biology
Statistics
مصطلحات موضوعية: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, Statistics - Applications
الوصف: The number of confirmed COVID-19 cases reached over 1.3 million in Ontario, Canada by June 4, 2022. The continued spread of the virus underlying COVID-19 has been spurred by the emergence of variants since the initial outbreak in December, 2019. Much attention has thus been devoted to tracking and modelling the transmission of COVID-19. Compartmental models are commonly used to mimic epidemic transmission mechanisms and are easy to understand. Their performance in real-world settings, however, needs to be more thoroughly assessed. In this comparative study, we examine five compartmental models -- four existing ones and an extended model that we propose -- and analyze their ability to describe COVID-19 transmission in Ontario from January 2022 to June 2022.
Comment: 26 pages, 8 figures
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
URL الوصول: http://arxiv.org/abs/2210.13323
رقم الأكسشن: edsarx.2210.13323
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv