تقرير
Enhancing Prediction and Analysis of UK Road Traffic Accident Severity Using AI: Integration of Machine Learning, Econometric Techniques, and Time Series Forecasting in Public Health Research
| العنوان: | Enhancing Prediction and Analysis of UK Road Traffic Accident Severity Using AI: Integration of Machine Learning, Econometric Techniques, and Time Series Forecasting in Public Health Research |
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| المؤلفون: | Sufian, Md Abu, Varadarajan, Jayasree |
| سنة النشر: | 2023 |
| المجموعة: | Computer Science Statistics |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Statistics - Machine Learning, Computer Science - Artificial Intelligence, Computer Science - Machine Learning |
| الوصف: | This research investigates road traffic accident severity in the UK, using a combination of machine learning, econometric, and statistical methods on historical data. We employed various techniques, including correlation analysis, regression models, GMM for error term issues, and time-series forecasting with VAR and ARIMA models. Our approach outperforms naive forecasting with an MASE of 0.800 and ME of -73.80. We also built a random forest classifier with 73% precision, 78% recall, and a 73% F1-score. Optimizing with H2O AutoML led to an XGBoost model with an RMSE of 0.176 and MAE of 0.087. Factor Analysis identified key variables, and we used SHAP for Explainable AI, highlighting influential factors like Driver_Home_Area_Type and Road_Type. Our study enhances understanding of accident severity and offers insights for evidence-based road safety policies. Comment: 36 |
| نوع الوثيقة: | Working Paper |
| URL الوصول: | http://arxiv.org/abs/2309.13483 |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsarx.2309.13483 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | arXiv |
| الوصف غير متاح. |