Reducing societal impacts of SARS-CoV-2 interventions through subnational implementation

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Reducing societal impacts of SARS-CoV-2 interventions through subnational implementation
المؤلفون: Dekker, Mark M., Coffeng, Luc E., Pijpers, Frank P., Panja, Debabrata, de Vlas, Sake J.
المصدر: eLife 12, e80819 (2023)
سنة النشر: 2023
المجموعة: Physics (Other)
Quantitative Biology
مصطلحات موضوعية: Physics - Physics and Society, Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution
الوصف: To curb the initial spread of SARS-CoV-2, many countries relied on nation-wide implementation of non-pharmaceutical intervention measures, resulting in substantial socio-economic impacts. Potentially, subnational implementations might have had less of a societal impact, but comparable epidemiological impact. Here, using the first COVID-19 wave in the Netherlands as a case in point, we address this issue by developing a high-resolution analysis framework that uses a demographically-stratified population and a spatially-explicit, dynamic, individual contact-pattern based epidemiology, calibrated to hospital admissions data and mobility trends extracted from mobile phone signals and Google. We demonstrate how a subnational approach could achieve similar level of epidemiological control in terms of hospital admissions, while some parts of the country could stay open for a longer period. Our framework is exportable to other countries and settings, and may be used to develop policies on subnational approach as a better strategic choice for controlling future epidemics.
Comment: 9 pages, 4 figures and Supplementary Information
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
DOI: 10.7554/eLife.80819
URL الوصول: http://arxiv.org/abs/2312.10773
رقم الأكسشن: edsarx.2312.10773
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv