Predicting machine failures from multivariate time series: an industrial case study

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Predicting machine failures from multivariate time series: an industrial case study
المؤلفون: Vago, Nicolò Oreste Pinciroli, Forbicini, Francesca, Fraternali, Piero
المصدر: Machines 2024, 12(6), 357
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: Computer Science
مصطلحات موضوعية: Computer Science - Machine Learning
الوصف: Non-neural Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) models are often used to predict system failures in the context of industrial maintenance. However, only a few researches jointly assess the effect of varying the amount of past data used to make a prediction and the extension in the future of the forecast. This study evaluates the impact of the size of the reading window and of the prediction window on the performances of models trained to forecast failures in three data sets concerning the operation of (1) an industrial wrapping machine working in discrete sessions, (2) an industrial blood refrigerator working continuously, and (3) a nitrogen generator working continuously. The problem is formulated as a binary classification task that assigns the positive label to the prediction window based on the probability of a failure to occur in such an interval. Six algorithms (logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, LSTM, ConvLSTM, and Transformers) are compared using multivariate telemetry time series. The results indicate that, in the considered scenarios, the dimension of the prediction windows plays a crucial role and highlight the effectiveness of DL approaches at classifying data with diverse time-dependent patterns preceding a failure and the effectiveness of ML approaches at classifying similar and repetitive patterns preceding a failure.
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
DOI: 10.3390/machines12060357
URL الوصول: http://arxiv.org/abs/2402.17804
رقم الأكسشن: edsarx.2402.17804
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv
الوصف
DOI:10.3390/machines12060357