We developed and tested an approach for predicting trends for efficient hot carrier generation among disordered metal alloys. We provide a simple argument for the importance of indirect transitions in the presence of disorder, thus justifying the use of Joint Density of States (JDOS)-like quantities for exploring these trends. We introduce a new JDOS-like quantity, JDOSK, which heuristically accounts for longer lifetimes of quasiparticles close to the Fermi energy. To demonstrate the efficacy of this new quantity, we apply it to the study of Cu50X50 where X = Ag, Au, Pd and Y50Pd50 where Y = Au, Ni. We predict that Ni50Pd50 produces the most hot carriers among the alloys considered. The improvement in the density of excited photocarriers over the base alloy used, Cu50Ag50, is 3.4 times for 800 nm and 19 times for 1550 nm light. This boost in hot-carrier generation is consequence of the ferromagnetic nature of the Ni alloy. We argue that our method allows efficient material-specific predictions for low bias photoconductivity of alloys.
