Identifying Nonstationary Causal Structures with High-Order Markov Switching Models

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Identifying Nonstationary Causal Structures with High-Order Markov Switching Models
المؤلفون: Balsells-Rodas, Carles, Wang, Yixin, Mediano, Pedro A. M., Li, Yingzhen
سنة النشر: 2024
المجموعة: Computer Science
Statistics
مصطلحات موضوعية: Statistics - Machine Learning, Computer Science - Machine Learning
الوصف: Causal discovery in time series is a rapidly evolving field with a wide variety of applications in other areas such as climate science and neuroscience. Traditional approaches assume a stationary causal graph, which can be adapted to nonstationary time series with time-dependent effects or heterogeneous noise. In this work we address nonstationarity via regime-dependent causal structures. We first establish identifiability for high-order Markov Switching Models, which provide the foundations for identifiable regime-dependent causal discovery. Our empirical studies demonstrate the scalability of our proposed approach for high-order regime-dependent structure estimation, and we illustrate its applicability on brain activity data.
Comment: CI4TS Workshop @UAI2024
نوع الوثيقة: Working Paper
URL الوصول: http://arxiv.org/abs/2406.17698
رقم الأكسشن: edsarx.2406.17698
قاعدة البيانات: arXiv