دورية أكاديمية

A comparative study of 17 phenological models to predict the start of the growing season

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: A comparative study of 17 phenological models to predict the start of the growing season
المؤلفون: Yunhua Mo, Jing Zhang, Hong Jiang, Yongshuo H. Fu
المصدر: Frontiers in Forests and Global Change, Vol 5 (2023)
بيانات النشر: Frontiers Media S.A., 2023.
سنة النشر: 2023
المجموعة: LCC:Forestry
LCC:Environmental sciences
مصطلحات موضوعية: spring phenological model, remote sensing, chilling, temperature, photoperiod, Forestry, SD1-669.5, Environmental sciences, GE1-350
الوصف: Vegetation phenological models play a major role in terrestrial ecosystem modeling. However, substantial uncertainties still occur in phenology models because the mechanisms underlying spring phenological events are unclear. Taking into account the asymmetric effects of daytime and nighttime temperature on spring phenology, we analyzed the performance of 17 spring phenological models by combining the effects of photoperiod and precipitation. The global inventory modeling and mapping study third-generation normalized difference vegetation index data (1982–2014) were used to extract the start of the growing season (SOS) in the North–South Transect of Northeast Asia. The satellite-derived SOS of deciduous needleleaf forest (DNF), mixed forest (MF), open shrublands (OSL), and woody savannas (WS) showed high correlation coefficients (r) with the model-predicted SOS, with most exceeding 0.7. For all vegetation types studied, the models that considered the effect of photoperiod and precipitation did not significantly improve the model performance. For temperature-based models, the model using the growing-degree-day temperature response had a lower root mean square error compared with the models using the sigmoid temperature response Importantly, we found that daily maximum temperature was most suitable for the spring phenology prediction of DNF, OSL, and WS; daily mean temperature for MF; and daily minimum temperature for grasslands. These findings indicate that future spring phenological models should consider the asymmetric effect between daytime and nighttime temperature across different vegetation types.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2624-893X
Relation: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/ffgc.2022.1032066/full; https://doaj.org/toc/2624-893X
DOI: 10.3389/ffgc.2022.1032066
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/cc014867cfde49909b95f3d48855cb64
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.014867cfde49909b95f3d48855cb64
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:2624893X
DOI:10.3389/ffgc.2022.1032066