دورية أكاديمية
Estimating chikungunya virus transmission parameters and vector control effectiveness highlights key factors to mitigate arboviral disease outbreaks.
| العنوان: | Estimating chikungunya virus transmission parameters and vector control effectiveness highlights key factors to mitigate arboviral disease outbreaks. |
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| المؤلفون: | Frédéric Jourdain, Henriette de Valk, Harold Noël, Marie-Claire Paty, Grégory L'Ambert, Florian Franke, Damien Mouly, Jean-Claude Desenclos, Benjamin Roche |
| المصدر: | PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases, Vol 16, Iss 3, p e0010244 (2022) |
| بيانات النشر: | Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2022. |
| سنة النشر: | 2022 |
| المجموعة: | LCC:Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine LCC:Public aspects of medicine |
| مصطلحات موضوعية: | Arctic medicine. Tropical medicine, RC955-962, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270 |
| الوصف: | BackgroundViruses transmitted by Aedes mosquitoes have greatly expanded their geographic range in recent decades. They are considered emerging public health threats throughout the world, including Europe. Therefore, public health authorities must be prepared by quantifying the potential magnitude of virus transmission and the effectiveness of interventions.MethodologyWe developed a mathematical model with a vector-host structure for chikungunya virus transmission and estimated model parameters from epidemiological data of the two main autochthonous chikungunya virus transmission events that occurred in Southern France, in Montpellier (2014) and in Le Cannet-des-Maures (2017). We then performed simulations of the model using these estimates to forecast the magnitude of the foci of transmission as a function of the response delay and the moment of virus introduction.ConclusionsThe results of the different simulations underline the relative importance of each variable and can be useful to stakeholders when designing context-based intervention strategies. The findings emphasize the importance of, and advocate for early detection of imported cases and timely biological confirmation of autochthonous cases to ensure timely vector control measures, supporting the implementation and the maintenance of sustainable surveillance systems. |
| نوع الوثيقة: | article |
| وصف الملف: | electronic resource |
| اللغة: | English |
| تدمد: | 1935-2727 1935-2735 |
| Relation: | https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2727; https://doaj.org/toc/1935-2735 |
| DOI: | 10.1371/journal.pntd.0010244 |
| URL الوصول: | https://doaj.org/article/d05a6103d2574750b2693429083af4c7 |
| رقم الأكسشن: | edsdoj.05a6103d2574750b2693429083af4c7 |
| قاعدة البيانات: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
Full Text Finder | تدمد: | 19352727 19352735 |
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| DOI: | 10.1371/journal.pntd.0010244 |