دورية أكاديمية

A Study on Coastal Flooding and Risk Assessment under Climate Change in the Mid-Western Coast of Taiwan

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: A Study on Coastal Flooding and Risk Assessment under Climate Change in the Mid-Western Coast of Taiwan
المؤلفون: Tai-Wen Hsu, Dong-Sin Shih, Chi-Yu Li, Yuan-Jyh Lan, Yu-Chen Lin
المصدر: Water, Vol 9, Iss 6, p 390 (2017)
بيانات النشر: MDPI AG, 2017.
سنة النشر: 2017
المجموعة: LCC:Hydraulic engineering
LCC:Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes
مصطلحات موضوعية: climate change, coastal disasters, vulnerability, disaster risk, Hydraulic engineering, TC1-978, Water supply for domestic and industrial purposes, TD201-500
الوصف: This study integrated coastal watershed models and combined them with a risk assessment method to develop a methodology to investigate the impact resulting from coastal disasters under climate change. The mid-western coast of Taiwan suffering from land subsidence was selected as the demonstrative area for the vulnerability analysis based on the prediction of sea level rise (SLR), wave run-up, overtopping, and coastal flooding under the scenarios of the years from 2020 to 2039. Databases from tidal gauges and satellite images were used to analyze SLR using Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD). Extreme wave condition and storm surge were estimated by numerical simulation using the Wind Wave Model (WWM) and the Princeton Ocean Model (POM). Coastal inundation was then simulated via the WASH123D watershed model. The risk map of study areas based on the analyses of vulnerability and disaster were established using the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) technique. Predictions of sea level rise, the maximum wave condition, and storm surge under the scenarios of 2020 to 2039 are presented. The results indicate that the sea level at the mid-western coast of Taiwan will rise by an average of 5.8 cm, equivalent to a rising velocity of 2.8 mm/year. The analysis indicates that the Wuqi, Lukang, Mailiao, and Taixi townships are susceptive, low resistant and low resilient and reach the high-risk level. This assessment provides important information for creating an adaption policy for the mid-western coast of Taiwan.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2073-4441
Relation: http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4441/9/6/390; https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4441
DOI: 10.3390/w9060390
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/c09b7c41533d4c3e882f792e1e53a17c
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.09b7c41533d4c3e882f792e1e53a17c
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:20734441
DOI:10.3390/w9060390