دورية أكاديمية

Short-term prediction of PV output based on weather classification and SSA-ELM

التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
العنوان: Short-term prediction of PV output based on weather classification and SSA-ELM
المؤلفون: Junxiong Ge, Guowei Cai, Mao Yang, Liu Jiang, Haimin Hong, Jinyu Zhao
المصدر: Frontiers in Energy Research, Vol 11 (2023)
بيانات النشر: Frontiers Media S.A., 2023.
سنة النشر: 2023
المجموعة: LCC:General Works
مصطلحات موضوعية: distributed photovoltaic users, photovoltaic output type, frequency fluctuations, cluster prediction, dividing weather types, General Works
الوصف: In this paper, according to the power output characteristics of distributed photovoltaic users, the SSA-ELM (Sparrow Search Algorithm - Extreme Learning Machine) model based on weather type division is proposed for photovoltaic power day ahead prediction. Because the solar panel power generation sequence of photovoltaic users contains high frequency fluctuations, in this paper we use the power sequence convergence effect to make cluster prediction on all photovoltaic panels to reduce the randomness of distributed photovoltaic. The prediction accuracy is further improved by dividing weather types. The historical data of distributed PV users in a region of Gansu province is used for modeling verification, and the results show that the prediction error of the proposed method is lower. In bad weather, the root mean square error is at least 0.02 less than the comparison model, and the average annual accuracy rate is 93.2%, which proves the applicability of the proposed method in different output types.
نوع الوثيقة: article
وصف الملف: electronic resource
اللغة: English
تدمد: 2296-598X
Relation: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenrg.2023.1145448/full; https://doaj.org/toc/2296-598X
DOI: 10.3389/fenrg.2023.1145448
URL الوصول: https://doaj.org/article/aca1e54e75e948059677889d653c5219
رقم الأكسشن: edsdoj.1e54e75e948059677889d653c5219
قاعدة البيانات: Directory of Open Access Journals
الوصف
تدمد:2296598X
DOI:10.3389/fenrg.2023.1145448